**Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources converge on a daily maximum of 92–94°F for Chicago on September 2, 2026, driven by a strong heat dome advecting warm, humid air from the Southeast.** This setup supports the market’s heaviest weighting on the 92–93°F (42%) and 94–95°F (30%) brackets. Southwest winds of 10–15 mph with afternoon gusts to 25 mph will mix the boundary layer, while dew points in the mid-70s push heat indices near 100°F. The 8–10°F departure above the 1991–2020 normal of ~80°F reflects the anomalous ridge strength and lack of a cooling frontal passage before the date. Ensemble spread remains modest, with only modest downside risk from earlier convection or slight timing shifts in the ridge breakdown, keeping sub-90°F outcomes below 20% combined implied probability. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the next resolution-relevant data points.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Chicago le 2 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Chicago le 2 septembre ?
92-93°F 42%
94-95°F 30%
90-91 °F 22%
96-97°F 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
2 sept. 2026
83°F ou moins
<1%
84-85 °F
<1%
86-87 °F
3%
88-89 °F
5%
90-91 °F
17%
92-93°F
42%
94-95°F
30%
96-97°F
8%
98-99°F
2%
100-101°F
1%
102°F ou plus
<1%
92-93°F 42%
94-95°F 30%
90-91 °F 22%
96-97°F 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
2 sept. 2026
83°F ou moins
$172 Vol.
<1%
84-85 °F
$229 Vol.
<1%
86-87 °F
$296 Vol.
3%
88-89 °F
$317 Vol.
5%
90-91 °F
$36 Vol.
17%
92-93°F
$121 Vol.
42%
94-95°F
$263 Vol.
30%
96-97°F
$58 Vol.
8%
98-99°F
$194 Vol.
2%
100-101°F
$60 Vol.
1%
102°F ou plus
$146 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources converge on a daily maximum of 92–94°F for Chicago on September 2, 2026, driven by a strong heat dome advecting warm, humid air from the Southeast.** This setup supports the market’s heaviest weighting on the 92–93°F (42%) and 94–95°F (30%) brackets. Southwest winds of 10–15 mph with afternoon gusts to 25 mph will mix the boundary layer, while dew points in the mid-70s push heat indices near 100°F. The 8–10°F departure above the 1991–2020 normal of ~80°F reflects the anomalous ridge strength and lack of a cooling frontal passage before the date. Ensemble spread remains modest, with only modest downside risk from earlier convection or slight timing shifts in the ridge breakdown, keeping sub-90°F outcomes below 20% combined implied probability. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the next resolution-relevant data points.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 31, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,893Date de fin
2 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 3:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources converge on a daily maximum of 92–94°F for Chicago on September 2, 2026, driven by a strong heat dome advecting warm, humid air from the Southeast.** This setup supports the market’s heaviest weighting on the 92–93°F (42%) and 94–95°F (30%) brackets. Southwest winds of 10–15 mph with afternoon gusts to 25 mph will mix the boundary layer, while dew points in the mid-70s push heat indices near 100°F. The 8–10°F departure above the 1991–2020 normal of ~80°F reflects the anomalous ridge strength and lack of a cooling frontal passage before the date. Ensemble spread remains modest, with only modest downside risk from earlier convection or slight timing shifts in the ridge breakdown, keeping sub-90°F outcomes below 20% combined implied probability. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the next resolution-relevant data points.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,893Date de fin
2 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 3:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources converge on a daily maximum of 92–94°F for Chicago on September 2, 2026, driven by a strong heat dome advecting warm, humid air from the Southeast.** This setup supports the market’s heaviest weighting on the 92–93°F (42%) and 94–95°F (30%) brackets. Southwest winds of 10–15 mph with afternoon gusts to 25 mph will mix the boundary layer, while dew points in the mid-70s push heat indices near 100°F. The 8–10°F departure above the 1991–2020 normal of ~80°F reflects the anomalous ridge strength and lack of a cooling frontal passage before the date. Ensemble spread remains modest, with only modest downside risk from earlier convection or slight timing shifts in the ridge breakdown, keeping sub-90°F outcomes below 20% combined implied probability. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the next resolution-relevant data points.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
La température la plus basse à Chicago sera-t-elle comprise entre 68 et 69°F le 2 septembre ?
50%
Oui
La température la plus élevée à Chicago sera-t-elle comprise entre 92 et 93 °F le 1er septembre ?
38%
Oui
La température la plus basse à Chicago sera-t-elle comprise entre 74-75°F le 1er septembre ?
70%
Oui
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