Recent forecasts from NOAA and meteorological models indicate a persistent warm air mass advecting over Chicago via southwest winds, sustaining overnight lows near 78°F on September 2 amid elevated dew points that limit radiational cooling. This setup, with partly cloudy conditions and minimal frontal influence expected, underpins the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 70–79°F ranges. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on variables such as nocturnal cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and minor shifts in wind trajectory that could alter minimum temperatures by 2–4°F. Upcoming model runs and National Weather Service updates over the next 48 hours will likely refine these projections amid typical late-summer forecast uncertainty.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Chicago le 2 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Chicago le 2 septembre ?
82-83°F 59%
74-75 °F 46%
76-77°F 46%
70-71°F 45%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
2 sept. 2026
67°F ou moins
7%
68-69°F
20%
70-71°F
45%
72-73°F
45%
74-75 °F
46%
76-77°F
46%
78-79 °F
45%
80-81°F
44%
82-83°F
59%
84-85 °F
15%
86°F ou plus
37%
82-83°F 59%
74-75 °F 46%
76-77°F 46%
70-71°F 45%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
2 sept. 2026
67°F ou moins
$15 Vol.
7%
68-69°F
$15 Vol.
20%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
45%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
45%
74-75 °F
$0 Vol.
46%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
46%
78-79 °F
$0 Vol.
45%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
44%
82-83°F
$15 Vol.
59%
84-85 °F
$5 Vol.
15%
86°F ou plus
$5 Vol.
37%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from NOAA and meteorological models indicate a persistent warm air mass advecting over Chicago via southwest winds, sustaining overnight lows near 78°F on September 2 amid elevated dew points that limit radiational cooling. This setup, with partly cloudy conditions and minimal frontal influence expected, underpins the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 70–79°F ranges. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on variables such as nocturnal cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and minor shifts in wind trajectory that could alter minimum temperatures by 2–4°F. Upcoming model runs and National Weather Service updates over the next 48 hours will likely refine these projections amid typical late-summer forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 31, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$55Date de fin
2 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 3:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from NOAA and meteorological models indicate a persistent warm air mass advecting over Chicago via southwest winds, sustaining overnight lows near 78°F on September 2 amid elevated dew points that limit radiational cooling. This setup, with partly cloudy conditions and minimal frontal influence expected, underpins the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 70–79°F ranges. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on variables such as nocturnal cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and minor shifts in wind trajectory that could alter minimum temperatures by 2–4°F. Upcoming model runs and National Weather Service updates over the next 48 hours will likely refine these projections amid typical late-summer forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$55Date de fin
2 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 3:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from NOAA and meteorological models indicate a persistent warm air mass advecting over Chicago via southwest winds, sustaining overnight lows near 78°F on September 2 amid elevated dew points that limit radiational cooling. This setup, with partly cloudy conditions and minimal frontal influence expected, underpins the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 70–79°F ranges. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on variables such as nocturnal cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and minor shifts in wind trajectory that could alter minimum temperatures by 2–4°F. Upcoming model runs and National Weather Service updates over the next 48 hours will likely refine these projections amid typical late-summer forecast uncertainty.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
La température la plus basse à Chicago sera-t-elle comprise entre 74-75°F le 1er septembre ?
27%
Oui
La température la plus élevée à Chicago sera-t-elle comprise entre 92 et 93°F le 2 septembre ?
41%
Oui
La température la plus élevée à Chicago sera-t-elle comprise entre 92 et 93 °F le 1er septembre ?
37%
Oui
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