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icon for La température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 4 septembre ?

La température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 4 septembre ?

icon for La température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 4 septembre ?

La température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 4 septembre ?

sept. 2

sept. 3

sept. 4

sept. 2

sept. 3

sept. 4

25°C 42%

26°C 32%

24°C 20%

22°C 9%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

25°C 42%

26°C 32%

24°C 20%

22°C 9%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

20°C ou moins

$875 Vol.

1%

21°C

$0 Vol.

2%

22°C

$0 Vol.

9%

23°C

$178 Vol.

5%

24°C

$65 Vol.

20%

25°C

$1,890 Vol.

42%

26°C

$347 Vol.

32%

27°C

$0 Vol.

9%

28°C

$0 Vol.

1%

29°C

$0 Vol.

1%

30°C ou plus

$0 Vol.

7%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus centers on a 24–26°C minimum for Hong Kong on September 4, with 25°C and 26°C each near 35% implied probability.** Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance projects a daily range of 25–29°C under mainly cloudy skies with scattered showers, driven by the nearby influence of tropical cyclone Sadul, which is enhancing cloud cover, humidity near 75–95%, and northwest winds of 4–5 on the Beaufort scale. These conditions limit radiational cooling overnight while preventing significant warming, keeping early-morning lows clustered around the mid-20s. Model outputs and recent observations show modest variability tied to shower timing and local wind shifts, explaining the tight spread among the leading outcomes and lower probabilities for 23°C or below. Updated forecasts ahead of the date will likely refine the exact minimum.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$3,355
Date de fin
4 sept. 2026
Marché ouvert
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus centers on a 24–26°C minimum for Hong Kong on September 4, with 25°C and 26°C each near 35% implied probability.** Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance projects a daily range of 25–29°C under mainly cloudy skies with scattered showers, driven by the nearby influence of tropical cyclone Sadul, which is enhancing cloud cover, humidity near 75–95%, and northwest winds of 4–5 on the Beaufort scale. These conditions limit radiational cooling overnight while preventing significant warming, keeping early-morning lows clustered around the mid-20s. Model outputs and recent observations show modest variability tied to shower timing and local wind shifts, explaining the tight spread among the leading outcomes and lower probabilities for 23°C or below. Updated forecasts ahead of the date will likely refine the exact minimum.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$3,355
Date de fin
4 sept. 2026
Marché ouvert
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Questions fréquentes

« La température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 4 septembre ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 11 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 25°C » à 42%, suivi de « 26°C » à 32%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 42¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 42% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« La température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 4 septembre ? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Sep 2, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « La température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 4 septembre ? », parcourez les 11 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « La température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 4 septembre ? » est « 25°C » à 42%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 42% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 26°C » à 32%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « La température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 4 septembre ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.