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icon for Vainqueur de l'élection partielle de Holborn et St Pancras
Politique·Royaume-Uni

Vainqueur de l'élection partielle de Holborn et St Pancras

icon for Vainqueur de l'élection partielle de Holborn et St Pancras
Politique·Royaume-Uni

Vainqueur de l'élection partielle de Holborn et St Pancras

Georgia Gould 24%

Sagal Abdi-Wali 24%

Adam Harrison 9%

Sarah Hayward 9%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Georgia Gould 24%

Sagal Abdi-Wali 24%

Adam Harrison 9%

Sarah Hayward 9%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Georgia Gould

Georgia Gould

$60 Vol.

24%

icon for Sagal Abdi-Wali

Sagal Abdi-Wali

$118 Vol.

24%

icon for Adam Harrison

Adam Harrison

$60 Vol.

9%

icon for Sarah Hayward

Sarah Hayward

$60 Vol.

9%

icon for Lorna Jane Russell

Lorna Jane Russell

$60 Vol.

8%

icon for Pat Callaghan

Pat Callaghan

$60 Vol.

6%

icon for Hamza Chowdhury

Hamza Chowdhury

$80 Vol.

24%

icon for Luisa Porritt

Luisa Porritt

$60 Vol.

6%

icon for James White

James White

$60 Vol.

6%

icon for Keith Moffitt

Keith Moffitt

$60 Vol.

6%

icon for Richard Olszewski

Richard Olszewski

$60 Vol.

5%

icon for David Roberts

David Roberts

$60 Vol.

5%

icon for Oliver Cooper

Oliver Cooper

$60 Vol.

5%

icon for Tricia Leman

Tricia Leman

$60 Vol.

5%

icon for David Stansell

David Stansell

$60 Vol.

4%

icon for Sarah Pochin

Sarah Pochin

$60 Vol.

3%

icon for Jim Monahan

Jim Monahan

$60 Vol.

3%

icon for Mehreen Malik

Mehreen Malik

$60 Vol.

25%

icon for Charlie Clinton

Charlie Clinton

$60 Vol.

1%

icon for Zack Polanski

Zack Polanski

$604 Vol.

50%

icon for Siân Berry

Siân Berry

$47 Vol.

28%

icon for Gio Spinella

Gio Spinella

$60 Vol.

29%

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).Keir Starmer’s September 1 resignation as MP for the safe Labour seat of Holborn and St Pancras has triggered an unscheduled by-election whose timing remains unclear pending the writ. With Labour’s candidate selection process only just opening and no nominees yet confirmed, trader pricing on Polymarket fragments across dozens of potential Labour figures, Green leader Zack Polanski, independents, and others. Local results showing Green strength in the 2026 Camden elections and the 18.9% independent share from 2024 keep multiple outcomes competitive. The absence of a confirmed field, the constituency’s progressive profile, and the risk of vote splitting among challengers sustain tight implied probabilities until nominations close and clearer signals emerge on frontrunners and turnout dynamics.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election.

If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).
Volume
$1,930
Date de fin
1 juil. 2027
Marché ouvert
Sep 1, 2026, 12:13 PM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).Keir Starmer’s September 1 resignation as MP for the safe Labour seat of Holborn and St Pancras has triggered an unscheduled by-election whose timing remains unclear pending the writ. With Labour’s candidate selection process only just opening and no nominees yet confirmed, trader pricing on Polymarket fragments across dozens of potential Labour figures, Green leader Zack Polanski, independents, and others. Local results showing Green strength in the 2026 Camden elections and the 18.9% independent share from 2024 keep multiple outcomes competitive. The absence of a confirmed field, the constituency’s progressive profile, and the risk of vote splitting among challengers sustain tight implied probabilities until nominations close and clearer signals emerge on frontrunners and turnout dynamics.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election.

If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).
Volume
$1,930
Date de fin
1 juil. 2027
Marché ouvert
Sep 1, 2026, 12:13 PM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).

Connexes

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Y aura-t-il exactement 6 élections partielles parlementaires au Royaume-Uni en 2026 ?

72%
Oui
icon for Une nouvelle élection partielle à Clacton prévue en 2026 ?

Une nouvelle élection partielle à Clacton prévue en 2026 ?

52%
Oui
icon for Mike Derry va-t-il remporter l'élection partielle provinciale de Calgary-Shaw en 2026 ?

Mike Derry va-t-il remporter l'élection partielle provinciale de Calgary-Shaw en 2026 ?

93%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de l'élection partielle de Holborn et St Pancras » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 22 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Zack Polanski » à 50%, suivi de « Gio Spinella » à 29%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 50¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 50% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Vainqueur de l'élection partielle de Holborn et St Pancras » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Sep 1, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de l'élection partielle de Holborn et St Pancras », parcourez les 22 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de l'élection partielle de Holborn et St Pancras » est « Zack Polanski » à 50%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 50% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Gio Spinella » à 29%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de l'élection partielle de Holborn et St Pancras » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.