**Bank of England projections of near-zero underlying GDP growth in Q3 2026 anchor trader sentiment for the quarterly outcome.** The central bank’s July Monetary Policy Report highlighted slowing momentum from elevated global energy prices tied to Middle East tensions, with CPI inflation expected to average 3.2% in 2026 Q4 after easing to 2.6% in June. Q2 GDP expanded 0.4% QoQ following 0.6% in Q1, but forecasters including the OBR and IMF have trimmed 2026 annual growth estimates to 0.8–1.1% amid a loosening labor market and higher imported inflation. These factors support the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 0.0–0.5% ranges, reflecting real-capital consensus on modest expansion rather than stronger rebound or contraction. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming ONS releases and any further BoE communications on the rate path.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourCroissance du PIB du Royaume-Uni au T3 2026 (QoQ) ?
Croissance du PIB du Royaume-Uni au T3 2026 (QoQ) ?
0,0–0,1 % 29%
0,2–0,3 % 23%
0,4–0,5 % 22%
Négatif 17%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
12 nov. 2026
Négatif
17%
0,0–0,1 %
29%
0,2–0,3 %
23%
0,4–0,5 %
22%
0,6–0,7 %
8%
0,8–0,9 %
2%
1,0 %+
2%
0,0–0,1 % 29%
0,2–0,3 % 23%
0,4–0,5 % 22%
Négatif 17%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
12 nov. 2026
Négatif
$1,843 Vol.
17%
0,0–0,1 %
$198 Vol.
29%
0,2–0,3 %
$1,376 Vol.
23%
0,4–0,5 %
$566 Vol.
22%
0,6–0,7 %
$158 Vol.
8%
0,8–0,9 %
$139 Vol.
2%
1,0 %+
$139 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the UK real gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate (% change) for Q3 of 2026 compared with the most recent quarter (quarter-on-previous-quarter) in the "GDP first quarterly estimate, UK" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for November 12, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.**Bank of England projections of near-zero underlying GDP growth in Q3 2026 anchor trader sentiment for the quarterly outcome.** The central bank’s July Monetary Policy Report highlighted slowing momentum from elevated global energy prices tied to Middle East tensions, with CPI inflation expected to average 3.2% in 2026 Q4 after easing to 2.6% in June. Q2 GDP expanded 0.4% QoQ following 0.6% in Q1, but forecasters including the OBR and IMF have trimmed 2026 annual growth estimates to 0.8–1.1% amid a loosening labor market and higher imported inflation. These factors support the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 0.0–0.5% ranges, reflecting real-capital consensus on modest expansion rather than stronger rebound or contraction. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming ONS releases and any further BoE communications on the rate path.
This market will resolve according to the UK real gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate (% change) for Q3 of 2026 compared with the most recent quarter (quarter-on-previous-quarter) in the "GDP first quarterly estimate, UK" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for November 12, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Marché ouvert : Aug 13, 2026, 1:43 PM ET
Volume
$4,418Date de fin
12 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 13, 2026, 1:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the UK real gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate (% change) for Q3 of 2026 compared with the most recent quarter (quarter-on-previous-quarter) in the "GDP first quarterly estimate, UK" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for November 12, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.**Bank of England projections of near-zero underlying GDP growth in Q3 2026 anchor trader sentiment for the quarterly outcome.** The central bank’s July Monetary Policy Report highlighted slowing momentum from elevated global energy prices tied to Middle East tensions, with CPI inflation expected to average 3.2% in 2026 Q4 after easing to 2.6% in June. Q2 GDP expanded 0.4% QoQ following 0.6% in Q1, but forecasters including the OBR and IMF have trimmed 2026 annual growth estimates to 0.8–1.1% amid a loosening labor market and higher imported inflation. These factors support the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 0.0–0.5% ranges, reflecting real-capital consensus on modest expansion rather than stronger rebound or contraction. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming ONS releases and any further BoE communications on the rate path.
This market will resolve according to the UK real gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate (% change) for Q3 of 2026 compared with the most recent quarter (quarter-on-previous-quarter) in the "GDP first quarterly estimate, UK" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for November 12, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$4,418Date de fin
12 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 13, 2026, 1:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Bank of England projections of near-zero underlying GDP growth in Q3 2026 anchor trader sentiment for the quarterly outcome.** The central bank’s July Monetary Policy Report highlighted slowing momentum from elevated global energy prices tied to Middle East tensions, with CPI inflation expected to average 3.2% in 2026 Q4 after easing to 2.6% in June. Q2 GDP expanded 0.4% QoQ following 0.6% in Q1, but forecasters including the OBR and IMF have trimmed 2026 annual growth estimates to 0.8–1.1% amid a loosening labor market and higher imported inflation. These factors support the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 0.0–0.5% ranges, reflecting real-capital consensus on modest expansion rather than stronger rebound or contraction. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming ONS releases and any further BoE communications on the rate path.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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