Elevated seismic activity along the Pacific Ring of Fire, including a magnitude 7.4 event near Colombia on August 13 and additional magnitude 5.5+ quakes in Indonesia, Alaska, and other plate-boundary zones, drove the USGS weekly count of magnitude 5.5 or greater earthquakes well above 13 for August 10–16. Global baselines average roughly 8–15 such events per week, with substantial variance tied to aftershock sequences and tectonic clusters, but confirmed observations during this window produced strong trader consensus around the >13 outcome. New model runs or catalog revisions could theoretically alter marginal counts, though official USGS tallies make that outcome highly improbable here.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourCombien de tremblements de terre de 5,5 ou plus du 10 août au 16 août ?
Combien de tremblements de terre de 5,5 ou plus du 10 août au 16 août ?
>13 100.0%
≤6 <1%
7 <1%
8 <1%
$43,878 Vol.
$43,878 Vol.
9 août 2026
≤6
Non
7
Non
8
Non
9
Non
10
Non
11
Non
12
Non
13
Non
>13
Oui
>13 100.0%
≤6 <1%
7 <1%
8 <1%
$43,878 Vol.
$43,878 Vol.
9 août 2026
≤6
$8,146 Vol.
Non
7
$1,403 Vol.
Non
8
$1,087 Vol.
Non
9
$1,684 Vol.
Non
10
$1,366 Vol.
Non
11
$2,918 Vol.
Non
12
$4,403 Vol.
Non
13
$5,250 Vol.
Non
>13
$17,620 Vol.
Oui
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 10, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Elevated seismic activity along the Pacific Ring of Fire, including a magnitude 7.4 event near Colombia on August 13 and additional magnitude 5.5+ quakes in Indonesia, Alaska, and other plate-boundary zones, drove the USGS weekly count of magnitude 5.5 or greater earthquakes well above 13 for August 10–16. Global baselines average roughly 8–15 such events per week, with substantial variance tied to aftershock sequences and tectonic clusters, but confirmed observations during this window produced strong trader consensus around the >13 outcome. New model runs or catalog revisions could theoretically alter marginal counts, though official USGS tallies make that outcome highly improbable here.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 10, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Marché ouvert : Aug 7, 2026, 10:55 AM ET
Volume
$43,878Date de fin
17 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 7, 2026, 10:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 10, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Elevated seismic activity along the Pacific Ring of Fire, including a magnitude 7.4 event near Colombia on August 13 and additional magnitude 5.5+ quakes in Indonesia, Alaska, and other plate-boundary zones, drove the USGS weekly count of magnitude 5.5 or greater earthquakes well above 13 for August 10–16. Global baselines average roughly 8–15 such events per week, with substantial variance tied to aftershock sequences and tectonic clusters, but confirmed observations during this window produced strong trader consensus around the >13 outcome. New model runs or catalog revisions could theoretically alter marginal counts, though official USGS tallies make that outcome highly improbable here.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 10, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Volume
$43,878Date de fin
17 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 7, 2026, 10:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Elevated seismic activity along the Pacific Ring of Fire, including a magnitude 7.4 event near Colombia on August 13 and additional magnitude 5.5+ quakes in Indonesia, Alaska, and other plate-boundary zones, drove the USGS weekly count of magnitude 5.5 or greater earthquakes well above 13 for August 10–16. Global baselines average roughly 8–15 such events per week, with substantial variance tied to aftershock sequences and tectonic clusters, but confirmed observations during this window produced strong trader consensus around the >13 outcome. New model runs or catalog revisions could theoretically alter marginal counts, though official USGS tallies make that outcome highly improbable here.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
Y aura-t-il plus de 13 séismes de magnitude 5,5 ou plus dans le monde du 17 août au 23 août ?
22%
Oui
Y aura-t-il exactement 0 tremblements de terre de magnitude 6,5 ou plus dans le monde du 17 août au 23 août ?
43%
Oui
Y aura-t-il entre 14 et 16 tremblements de terre de magnitude 7,0 ou plus dans le monde en 2026 ?
43%
Oui
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