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icon for Khamenei # posts 11 août - 18 août 2026 ?

Khamenei # posts 11 août - 18 août 2026 ?

icon for Khamenei # posts 11 août - 18 août 2026 ?

Khamenei # posts 11 août - 18 août 2026 ?

<5 89%

5-9 11%

25-29 <1%

30-34 <1%

Polymarket

$15,439 Vol.

<5 89%

5-9 11%

25-29 <1%

30-34 <1%

Polymarket

$15,439 Vol.

<5

$4,448 Vol.

89%

5-9

$2,532 Vol.

11%

10-14

$1,162 Vol.

<1%

15-19

$982 Vol.

<1%

20-24

$991 Vol.

<1%

25-29

$1,459 Vol.

1%

30-34

$1,383 Vol.

1%

35-39

$440 Vol.

<1%

40-44

$321 Vol.

<1%

45-49

$358 Vol.

<1%

50-54

$406 Vol.

<1%

55-59

$406 Vol.

<1%

60+

$551 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The official accounts associated with Iran's Supreme Leader, including @khamenei_ir, have followed a consistent pattern of infrequent posting limited to reposts of archival statements from the late Ali Khamenei, religious commemorations, or occasional major policy notes rather than regular updates. Early August 2026 activity stayed minimal, with just a few such reposts, even after Mojtaba Khamenei's August 10 military appointments and related releases failed to generate sustained follow-on output. This low-volume approach aligns with trader consensus favoring fewer than five posts for the August 11-18 window, reflecting the accounts' established focus on selective rather than routine engagement amid ongoing regional dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$15,439
Date de fin
18 août 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Source de résolution

https://x.com/khamenei_ir
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The official accounts associated with Iran's Supreme Leader, including @khamenei_ir, have followed a consistent pattern of infrequent posting limited to reposts of archival statements from the late Ali Khamenei, religious commemorations, or occasional major policy notes rather than regular updates. Early August 2026 activity stayed minimal, with just a few such reposts, even after Mojtaba Khamenei's August 10 military appointments and related releases failed to generate sustained follow-on output. This low-volume approach aligns with trader consensus favoring fewer than five posts for the August 11-18 window, reflecting the accounts' established focus on selective rather than routine engagement amid ongoing regional dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$15,439
Date de fin
18 août 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Source de résolution

https://x.com/khamenei_ir
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

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Questions fréquentes

« Khamenei # posts 11 août - 18 août 2026 ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 13 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « <5 » à 89%, suivi de « 5-9 » à 11%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 89¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 89% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Khamenei # posts 11 août - 18 août 2026 ? » a généré $15.4K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Aug 8, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Khamenei # posts 11 août - 18 août 2026 ? », parcourez les 13 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Khamenei # posts 11 août - 18 août 2026 ? » est « <5 » à 89%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 89% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 5-9 » à 11%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Khamenei # posts 11 août - 18 août 2026 ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.