Trump's Truth Social activity in 2026 has shown substantial week-to-week variation, with monthly totals ranging from roughly 23 posts per day on average in June to peaks exceeding 28 per day in May amid intense policy focus and external events. Traders assign the highest probability to 200+ posts in the August 11-18 window, reflecting recent sprees and the president's pattern of elevated output during active news cycles or travel. Closely matched bins in the 120-159 range capture baseline expectations drawn from 2025-2026 daily averages near 18 posts, tempered by uncertainty over his exact schedule, potential midterms-related developments, or quieter periods. Separation among outcomes will likely hinge on whether major announcements, travel, or breaking stories prompt sustained high-volume posting.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourDonald Trump # Truth Social posts 11 août - 18 août 2026 ?
200+ 23%
140-159 16%
120-139 15%
80-99 14%
<20
5%
20-39
1%
40-59
8%
60-79
4%
80-99
14%
100-119
12%
120-139
15%
140-159
16%
160-179
11%
180-199
12%
200+
23%
200+ 23%
140-159 16%
120-139 15%
80-99 14%
<20
5%
20-39
1%
40-59
8%
60-79
4%
80-99
14%
100-119
12%
120-139
15%
140-159
16%
160-179
11%
180-199
12%
200+
23%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Marché ouvert : Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Source de résolution
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trump's Truth Social activity in 2026 has shown substantial week-to-week variation, with monthly totals ranging from roughly 23 posts per day on average in June to peaks exceeding 28 per day in May amid intense policy focus and external events. Traders assign the highest probability to 200+ posts in the August 11-18 window, reflecting recent sprees and the president's pattern of elevated output during active news cycles or travel. Closely matched bins in the 120-159 range capture baseline expectations drawn from 2025-2026 daily averages near 18 posts, tempered by uncertainty over his exact schedule, potential midterms-related developments, or quieter periods. Separation among outcomes will likely hinge on whether major announcements, travel, or breaking stories prompt sustained high-volume posting.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour

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