Elon Musk's tweet volume over short windows like August 6-8 typically tracks his established high-frequency posting rhythm on X, where daily output often lands in the mid-teens to upper-20s range absent major breaking events. With no standout catalysts—such as product launches, earnings, or high-profile controversies—flagged for that exact stretch, traders have coalesced around the 40-64 and 65-89 brackets as the most probable outcomes, reflecting steady but unspectacular activity levels seen in comparable recent periods. Momentum could shift if Tesla or SpaceX news surfaces, political commentary spikes, or weekend engagement patterns deviate from norms, though historical data shows such three-day totals rarely exceed 90 without external drivers. The tight split between the top two bands underscores uncertainty around minor fluctuations in reply volume and thread activity.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour40-64 42%
65-89 34%
Moins de 40 15%
90-114 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
8 août 2026
Moins de 40
15%
40-64
42%
65-89
34%
90-114
10%
115-139
2%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 42%
65-89 34%
Moins de 40 15%
90-114 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
8 août 2026
Moins de 40
$508 Vol.
15%
40-64
$235 Vol.
42%
65-89
$213 Vol.
34%
90-114
$59 Vol.
10%
115-139
$40 Vol.
2%
140-164
$60 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$0 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$6 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$1,771 Vol.
<1%
240+
$1,931 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 6 12:00 PM ET to August 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's tweet volume over short windows like August 6-8 typically tracks his established high-frequency posting rhythm on X, where daily output often lands in the mid-teens to upper-20s range absent major breaking events. With no standout catalysts—such as product launches, earnings, or high-profile controversies—flagged for that exact stretch, traders have coalesced around the 40-64 and 65-89 brackets as the most probable outcomes, reflecting steady but unspectacular activity levels seen in comparable recent periods. Momentum could shift if Tesla or SpaceX news surfaces, political commentary spikes, or weekend engagement patterns deviate from norms, though historical data shows such three-day totals rarely exceed 90 without external drivers. The tight split between the top two bands underscores uncertainty around minor fluctuations in reply volume and thread activity.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 6 12:00 PM ET to August 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Marché ouvert : Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Volume
$4,823Date de fin
8 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 PM ETSource de résolution
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 6 12:00 PM ET to August 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's tweet volume over short windows like August 6-8 typically tracks his established high-frequency posting rhythm on X, where daily output often lands in the mid-teens to upper-20s range absent major breaking events. With no standout catalysts—such as product launches, earnings, or high-profile controversies—flagged for that exact stretch, traders have coalesced around the 40-64 and 65-89 brackets as the most probable outcomes, reflecting steady but unspectacular activity levels seen in comparable recent periods. Momentum could shift if Tesla or SpaceX news surfaces, political commentary spikes, or weekend engagement patterns deviate from norms, though historical data shows such three-day totals rarely exceed 90 without external drivers. The tight split between the top two bands underscores uncertainty around minor fluctuations in reply volume and thread activity.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 6 12:00 PM ET to August 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$4,823Date de fin
8 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 PM ETSource de résolution
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk's tweet volume over short windows like August 6-8 typically tracks his established high-frequency posting rhythm on X, where daily output often lands in the mid-teens to upper-20s range absent major breaking events. With no standout catalysts—such as product launches, earnings, or high-profile controversies—flagged for that exact stretch, traders have coalesced around the 40-64 and 65-89 brackets as the most probable outcomes, reflecting steady but unspectacular activity levels seen in comparable recent periods. Momentum could shift if Tesla or SpaceX news surfaces, political commentary spikes, or weekend engagement patterns deviate from norms, though historical data shows such three-day totals rarely exceed 90 without external drivers. The tight split between the top two bands underscores uncertainty around minor fluctuations in reply volume and thread activity.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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