The market-implied 64% probability on "No" for a 2026 engagement reflects the couple's consistent emphasis on a measured timeline after more than three years of dating. Verified reports from August 2026 noted that Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet remain deeply committed yet have no plans to accelerate toward marriage, preferring to enjoy their current dynamic amid high-profile appearances like the October 18 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show and earlier red-carpet support at awards season events. Public acknowledgments, such as Chalamet's January 2026 Critics Choice speech referencing her as his partner, underscore stability without crossing into engagement territory. With limited weeks remaining and no confirmed announcements or shifting industry signals, traders appear to weigh the absence of momentum and explicit statements against rush speculation.