South Korean President Lee Jae-myung's constitutional immunity under Article 84 has suspended all prior criminal proceedings, including graft and election-law cases, shielding him from arrest or detention through the end of his term in 2030 except in cases of insurrection or treason. This structural protection underpins the 90% trader consensus that no arrest will occur before December 31, 2026. Recent developments, such as Lee's diplomatic engagements with U.S. and Chinese officials and his administration's focus on economic policy ahead of June local elections, have further stabilized his position. Opposition calls for impeachment or special-counsel reversals of charges remain procedural long shots, requiring supermajority support that has not materialized.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLee Jae-myung arrêté avant 2027 ?
Lee Jae-myung arrêté avant 2027 ?
Oui
$319,630 Vol.
$319,630 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Oui
$319,630 Vol.
$319,630 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.South Korean President Lee Jae-myung's constitutional immunity under Article 84 has suspended all prior criminal proceedings, including graft and election-law cases, shielding him from arrest or detention through the end of his term in 2030 except in cases of insurrection or treason. This structural protection underpins the 90% trader consensus that no arrest will occur before December 31, 2026. Recent developments, such as Lee's diplomatic engagements with U.S. and Chinese officials and his administration's focus on economic policy ahead of June local elections, have further stabilized his position. Opposition calls for impeachment or special-counsel reversals of charges remain procedural long shots, requiring supermajority support that has not materialized.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ET
Volume
$319,630Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.South Korean President Lee Jae-myung's constitutional immunity under Article 84 has suspended all prior criminal proceedings, including graft and election-law cases, shielding him from arrest or detention through the end of his term in 2030 except in cases of insurrection or treason. This structural protection underpins the 90% trader consensus that no arrest will occur before December 31, 2026. Recent developments, such as Lee's diplomatic engagements with U.S. and Chinese officials and his administration's focus on economic policy ahead of June local elections, have further stabilized his position. Opposition calls for impeachment or special-counsel reversals of charges remain procedural long shots, requiring supermajority support that has not materialized.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$319,630Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...South Korean President Lee Jae-myung's constitutional immunity under Article 84 has suspended all prior criminal proceedings, including graft and election-law cases, shielding him from arrest or detention through the end of his term in 2030 except in cases of insurrection or treason. This structural protection underpins the 90% trader consensus that no arrest will occur before December 31, 2026. Recent developments, such as Lee's diplomatic engagements with U.S. and Chinese officials and his administration's focus on economic policy ahead of June local elections, have further stabilized his position. Opposition calls for impeachment or special-counsel reversals of charges remain procedural long shots, requiring supermajority support that has not materialized.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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