**President Lee Jae-myung’s constitutional immunity under Article 84 has suspended all pending criminal cases, including election-law violations and development-project corruption allegations, shielding him from arrest or prosecution except for insurrection or treason.** Courts have cited these protections to pause proceedings, while Democratic Party legislative efforts aim to facilitate case dismissals or special-counsel reviews. As of September 2026, Lee continues exercising full executive authority, conducting summits and domestic policy initiatives without interruption. Traders view these structural and procedural barriers as decisive through December 2026, producing the 93% “No” consensus; only an extraordinary reversal of immunity or legislative outcomes could alter the outlook before the market resolves.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLee Jae-myung arrêté avant 2027 ?
Lee Jae-myung arrêté avant 2027 ?
Oui
7% chance
$548,061 Vol.
$548,061 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Oui
7% chance
$548,061 Vol.
$548,061 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**President Lee Jae-myung’s constitutional immunity under Article 84 has suspended all pending criminal cases, including election-law violations and development-project corruption allegations, shielding him from arrest or prosecution except for insurrection or treason.** Courts have cited these protections to pause proceedings, while Democratic Party legislative efforts aim to facilitate case dismissals or special-counsel reviews. As of September 2026, Lee continues exercising full executive authority, conducting summits and domestic policy initiatives without interruption. Traders view these structural and procedural barriers as decisive through December 2026, producing the 93% “No” consensus; only an extraordinary reversal of immunity or legislative outcomes could alter the outlook before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ET
Volume
$548,061Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**President Lee Jae-myung’s constitutional immunity under Article 84 has suspended all pending criminal cases, including election-law violations and development-project corruption allegations, shielding him from arrest or prosecution except for insurrection or treason.** Courts have cited these protections to pause proceedings, while Democratic Party legislative efforts aim to facilitate case dismissals or special-counsel reviews. As of September 2026, Lee continues exercising full executive authority, conducting summits and domestic policy initiatives without interruption. Traders view these structural and procedural barriers as decisive through December 2026, producing the 93% “No” consensus; only an extraordinary reversal of immunity or legislative outcomes could alter the outlook before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$548,061Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...**President Lee Jae-myung’s constitutional immunity under Article 84 has suspended all pending criminal cases, including election-law violations and development-project corruption allegations, shielding him from arrest or prosecution except for insurrection or treason.** Courts have cited these protections to pause proceedings, while Democratic Party legislative efforts aim to facilitate case dismissals or special-counsel reviews. As of September 2026, Lee continues exercising full executive authority, conducting summits and domestic policy initiatives without interruption. Traders view these structural and procedural barriers as decisive through December 2026, producing the 93% “No” consensus; only an extraordinary reversal of immunity or legislative outcomes could alter the outlook before the market resolves.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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