Current forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF point to a mild southerly flow and persistent cloud cover over Amsterdam on September 14, limiting radiative cooling and keeping the overnight low in the 14–16°C range, consistent with recent September conditions. This setup favors the market’s leading outcomes of 17°C or higher (37.5% implied) and the 12–14°C cluster, as the air mass lacks strong northerly advection or clear skies that would allow sharper drops. Historical averages near 13°C provide context, but the latest model consensus shows limited downside risk below 12°C, with any revisions likely tied to updated runs in the next 24–48 hours.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Amsterdam le 14 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Amsterdam le 14 septembre ?
17°C ou plus 65%
16°C 39%
8°C 37%
9°C 37%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 sept. 2026
7°C ou moins
2%
8°C
37%
9°C
37%
10°C
37%
11°C
37%
12°C
22%
13°C
27%
14°C
26%
15°C
25%
16°C
39%
17°C ou plus
65%
17°C ou plus 65%
16°C 39%
8°C 37%
9°C 37%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 sept. 2026
7°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
2%
8°C
$0 Vol.
37%
9°C
$0 Vol.
37%
10°C
$0 Vol.
37%
11°C
$0 Vol.
37%
12°C
$0 Vol.
22%
13°C
$0 Vol.
27%
14°C
$0 Vol.
26%
15°C
$0 Vol.
25%
16°C
$0 Vol.
39%
17°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
65%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF point to a mild southerly flow and persistent cloud cover over Amsterdam on September 14, limiting radiative cooling and keeping the overnight low in the 14–16°C range, consistent with recent September conditions. This setup favors the market’s leading outcomes of 17°C or higher (37.5% implied) and the 12–14°C cluster, as the air mass lacks strong northerly advection or clear skies that would allow sharper drops. Historical averages near 13°C provide context, but the latest model consensus shows limited downside risk below 12°C, with any revisions likely tied to updated runs in the next 24–48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
14 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF point to a mild southerly flow and persistent cloud cover over Amsterdam on September 14, limiting radiative cooling and keeping the overnight low in the 14–16°C range, consistent with recent September conditions. This setup favors the market’s leading outcomes of 17°C or higher (37.5% implied) and the 12–14°C cluster, as the air mass lacks strong northerly advection or clear skies that would allow sharper drops. Historical averages near 13°C provide context, but the latest model consensus shows limited downside risk below 12°C, with any revisions likely tied to updated runs in the next 24–48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Date de fin
14 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF point to a mild southerly flow and persistent cloud cover over Amsterdam on September 14, limiting radiative cooling and keeping the overnight low in the 14–16°C range, consistent with recent September conditions. This setup favors the market’s leading outcomes of 17°C or higher (37.5% implied) and the 12–14°C cluster, as the air mass lacks strong northerly advection or clear skies that would allow sharper drops. Historical averages near 13°C provide context, but the latest model consensus shows limited downside risk below 12°C, with any revisions likely tied to updated runs in the next 24–48 hours.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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