Forecast models from ECMWF and GFS indicate a minimum temperature near 12°C in Amsterdam on September 12, driven by persistent cloud cover, moderate southwesterly flow, and dew points supporting limited overnight radiative cooling under mild early-autumn conditions. This aligns with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11.1°C and recent model consensus showing overnight readings stabilizing around that threshold rather than dropping further. Trader positioning at 93% for 12°C reflects this agreement across ensembles, though genuine uncertainty remains from local urban heat-island effects or any late clearing that could enhance cooling. Final KNMI station observations will resolve the market once the full diurnal cycle completes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Amsterdam le 12 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Amsterdam le 12 septembre ?
12°C 100.0%
7°C ou moins <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$1,604 Vol.
$1,604 Vol.
12 sept. 2026
7°C ou moins
Non
8°C
Non
9°C
Non
10°C
Non
11°C
Non
12°C
Oui
13°C
Non
14°C
Non
15°C
Non
16°C
Non
17°C ou plus
Non
12°C 100.0%
7°C ou moins <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$1,604 Vol.
$1,604 Vol.
12 sept. 2026
7°C ou moins
$29 Vol.
Non
8°C
$49 Vol.
Non
9°C
$29 Vol.
Non
10°C
$59 Vol.
Non
11°C
$94 Vol.
Non
12°C
$640 Vol.
Oui
13°C
$275 Vol.
Non
14°C
$162 Vol.
Non
15°C
$109 Vol.
Non
16°C
$70 Vol.
Non
17°C ou plus
$90 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from ECMWF and GFS indicate a minimum temperature near 12°C in Amsterdam on September 12, driven by persistent cloud cover, moderate southwesterly flow, and dew points supporting limited overnight radiative cooling under mild early-autumn conditions. This aligns with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11.1°C and recent model consensus showing overnight readings stabilizing around that threshold rather than dropping further. Trader positioning at 93% for 12°C reflects this agreement across ensembles, though genuine uncertainty remains from local urban heat-island effects or any late clearing that could enhance cooling. Final KNMI station observations will resolve the market once the full diurnal cycle completes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$1,604Date de fin
12 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from ECMWF and GFS indicate a minimum temperature near 12°C in Amsterdam on September 12, driven by persistent cloud cover, moderate southwesterly flow, and dew points supporting limited overnight radiative cooling under mild early-autumn conditions. This aligns with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11.1°C and recent model consensus showing overnight readings stabilizing around that threshold rather than dropping further. Trader positioning at 93% for 12°C reflects this agreement across ensembles, though genuine uncertainty remains from local urban heat-island effects or any late clearing that could enhance cooling. Final KNMI station observations will resolve the market once the full diurnal cycle completes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,604Date de fin
12 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Forecast models from ECMWF and GFS indicate a minimum temperature near 12°C in Amsterdam on September 12, driven by persistent cloud cover, moderate southwesterly flow, and dew points supporting limited overnight radiative cooling under mild early-autumn conditions. This aligns with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11.1°C and recent model consensus showing overnight readings stabilizing around that threshold rather than dropping further. Trader positioning at 93% for 12°C reflects this agreement across ensembles, though genuine uncertainty remains from local urban heat-island effects or any late clearing that could enhance cooling. Final KNMI station observations will resolve the market once the full diurnal cycle completes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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