Forecast models for Ankara on September 23 show notable spread in overnight lows, driven by expected showers and thunderstorms that increase cloud cover and limit radiative cooling while also advecting cooler air masses from the west. Official guidance from regional meteorological sources points to minimums near 11–13°C, yet ensemble runs indicate potential for clearer breaks yielding 8–10°C or persistent moisture holding temperatures above 14°C. This genuine uncertainty between enhanced cooling under variable winds and moderated conditions from precipitation explains the near-even market split between sub-7°C and 16°C+ outcomes, with traders weighting the latest model updates on timing of frontal passage.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Ankara le 23 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Ankara le 23 septembre ?
6°C ou moins 94%
16°C ou plus 87%
12°C 22%
10°C 21%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
23 sept. 2026
6°C ou moins
94%
7°C
20%
8°C
20%
9°C
20%
10°C
21%
11°C
21%
12°C
22%
13 °C
21%
14°C
20%
15°C
20%
16°C ou plus
87%
6°C ou moins 94%
16°C ou plus 87%
12°C 22%
10°C 21%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
23 sept. 2026
6°C ou moins
$100 Vol.
94%
7°C
$0 Vol.
20%
8°C
$0 Vol.
20%
9°C
$0 Vol.
20%
10°C
$0 Vol.
21%
11°C
$0 Vol.
21%
12°C
$0 Vol.
22%
13 °C
$0 Vol.
21%
14°C
$0 Vol.
20%
15°C
$0 Vol.
20%
16°C ou plus
$40 Vol.
87%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Ankara on September 23 show notable spread in overnight lows, driven by expected showers and thunderstorms that increase cloud cover and limit radiative cooling while also advecting cooler air masses from the west. Official guidance from regional meteorological sources points to minimums near 11–13°C, yet ensemble runs indicate potential for clearer breaks yielding 8–10°C or persistent moisture holding temperatures above 14°C. This genuine uncertainty between enhanced cooling under variable winds and moderated conditions from precipitation explains the near-even market split between sub-7°C and 16°C+ outcomes, with traders weighting the latest model updates on timing of frontal passage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$140Date de fin
23 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Ankara on September 23 show notable spread in overnight lows, driven by expected showers and thunderstorms that increase cloud cover and limit radiative cooling while also advecting cooler air masses from the west. Official guidance from regional meteorological sources points to minimums near 11–13°C, yet ensemble runs indicate potential for clearer breaks yielding 8–10°C or persistent moisture holding temperatures above 14°C. This genuine uncertainty between enhanced cooling under variable winds and moderated conditions from precipitation explains the near-even market split between sub-7°C and 16°C+ outcomes, with traders weighting the latest model updates on timing of frontal passage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$140Date de fin
23 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Ankara on September 23 show notable spread in overnight lows, driven by expected showers and thunderstorms that increase cloud cover and limit radiative cooling while also advecting cooler air masses from the west. Official guidance from regional meteorological sources points to minimums near 11–13°C, yet ensemble runs indicate potential for clearer breaks yielding 8–10°C or persistent moisture holding temperatures above 14°C. This genuine uncertainty between enhanced cooling under variable winds and moderated conditions from precipitation explains the near-even market split between sub-7°C and 16°C+ outcomes, with traders weighting the latest model updates on timing of frontal passage.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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