Recent arrival of a cold air mass has driven Chongqing's overnight low toward 20°C on September 10, aligning with model consensus from agencies tracking the region's shift from prolonged heat. Forecasts from multiple sources show minimums of 19–21°C amid cloudy, humid conditions and light rain, consistent with historical September baselines near 21–22°C but lowered by this advection event. The 90.5% market-implied probability for exactly 20°C reflects trader assessment of official station data resolving near that threshold. A modest revision in final measurements or localized microclimate effects could push the reading to 19°C or below, though stronger warming or measurement adjustments would be needed to favor higher outcomes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Chongqing le 10 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Chongqing le 10 septembre ?
20°C 93%
19°C ou moins 1.0%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$1,182 Vol.
$1,182 Vol.
10 sept. 2026
19°C ou moins
Non
20°C
Oui
21°C
Non
22°C
Non
23°C
Non
24°C
Non
25°C
Non
26°C
Non
27°C
Non
28°C
Non
29°C ou plus
Non
20°C 93%
19°C ou moins 1.0%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$1,182 Vol.
$1,182 Vol.
10 sept. 2026
19°C ou moins
$97 Vol.
Non
20°C
$174 Vol.
Oui
21°C
$424 Vol.
Non
22°C
$75 Vol.
Non
23°C
$169 Vol.
Non
24°C
$73 Vol.
Non
25°C
$80 Vol.
Non
26°C
$15 Vol.
Non
27°C
$45 Vol.
Non
28°C
$15 Vol.
Non
29°C ou plus
$15 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent arrival of a cold air mass has driven Chongqing's overnight low toward 20°C on September 10, aligning with model consensus from agencies tracking the region's shift from prolonged heat. Forecasts from multiple sources show minimums of 19–21°C amid cloudy, humid conditions and light rain, consistent with historical September baselines near 21–22°C but lowered by this advection event. The 90.5% market-implied probability for exactly 20°C reflects trader assessment of official station data resolving near that threshold. A modest revision in final measurements or localized microclimate effects could push the reading to 19°C or below, though stronger warming or measurement adjustments would be needed to favor higher outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,182Date de fin
10 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent arrival of a cold air mass has driven Chongqing's overnight low toward 20°C on September 10, aligning with model consensus from agencies tracking the region's shift from prolonged heat. Forecasts from multiple sources show minimums of 19–21°C amid cloudy, humid conditions and light rain, consistent with historical September baselines near 21–22°C but lowered by this advection event. The 90.5% market-implied probability for exactly 20°C reflects trader assessment of official station data resolving near that threshold. A modest revision in final measurements or localized microclimate effects could push the reading to 19°C or below, though stronger warming or measurement adjustments would be needed to favor higher outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,182Date de fin
10 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Recent arrival of a cold air mass has driven Chongqing's overnight low toward 20°C on September 10, aligning with model consensus from agencies tracking the region's shift from prolonged heat. Forecasts from multiple sources show minimums of 19–21°C amid cloudy, humid conditions and light rain, consistent with historical September baselines near 21–22°C but lowered by this advection event. The 90.5% market-implied probability for exactly 20°C reflects trader assessment of official station data resolving near that threshold. A modest revision in final measurements or localized microclimate effects could push the reading to 19°C or below, though stronger warming or measurement adjustments would be needed to favor higher outcomes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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