Persistent heatwave conditions over northern France, driven by a strong high-pressure system and warm air advection, have kept Paris overnight temperatures elevated, with official Météo-France and European model consensus pointing to a minimum near 19°C on August 13. This aligns with the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome, as urban heat island effects and minimal radiative cooling under clear skies reduce the chance of dropping to historical mid-August averages around 15–16°C. Updated model runs through the evening will refine the exact threshold, though realistic shifts could occur from unanticipated increases in cloud cover, stronger winds, or localized measurement variations at official stations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Paris le 13 août ?
La température la plus basse à Paris le 13 août ?
19°C 100.0%
18°C ou moins <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$14,685 Vol.
$14,685 Vol.
13 août 2026
18°C ou moins
Non
19°C
Oui
20°C
Non
21°C
Non
22°C
Non
23°C
Non
24°C
Non
25°C
Non
26°C
Non
27°C
Non
28°C ou plus
Non
19°C 100.0%
18°C ou moins <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$14,685 Vol.
$14,685 Vol.
13 août 2026
18°C ou moins
$2,336 Vol.
Non
19°C
$1,490 Vol.
Oui
20°C
$2,658 Vol.
Non
21°C
$2,820 Vol.
Non
22°C
$790 Vol.
Non
23°C
$747 Vol.
Non
24°C
$1,121 Vol.
Non
25°C
$1,122 Vol.
Non
26°C
$841 Vol.
Non
27°C
$375 Vol.
Non
28°C ou plus
$385 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heatwave conditions over northern France, driven by a strong high-pressure system and warm air advection, have kept Paris overnight temperatures elevated, with official Météo-France and European model consensus pointing to a minimum near 19°C on August 13. This aligns with the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome, as urban heat island effects and minimal radiative cooling under clear skies reduce the chance of dropping to historical mid-August averages around 15–16°C. Updated model runs through the evening will refine the exact threshold, though realistic shifts could occur from unanticipated increases in cloud cover, stronger winds, or localized measurement variations at official stations.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$14,685Date de fin
13 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heatwave conditions over northern France, driven by a strong high-pressure system and warm air advection, have kept Paris overnight temperatures elevated, with official Météo-France and European model consensus pointing to a minimum near 19°C on August 13. This aligns with the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome, as urban heat island effects and minimal radiative cooling under clear skies reduce the chance of dropping to historical mid-August averages around 15–16°C. Updated model runs through the evening will refine the exact threshold, though realistic shifts could occur from unanticipated increases in cloud cover, stronger winds, or localized measurement variations at official stations.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$14,685Date de fin
13 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Persistent heatwave conditions over northern France, driven by a strong high-pressure system and warm air advection, have kept Paris overnight temperatures elevated, with official Météo-France and European model consensus pointing to a minimum near 19°C on August 13. This aligns with the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome, as urban heat island effects and minimal radiative cooling under clear skies reduce the chance of dropping to historical mid-August averages around 15–16°C. Updated model runs through the evening will refine the exact threshold, though realistic shifts could occur from unanticipated increases in cloud cover, stronger winds, or localized measurement variations at official stations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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