Recent forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate a shift to cooler northeasterly flow over northern France ahead of August 22, positioning Paris for minimum temperatures near 11–13 °C. Partly cloudy skies and a chance of light showers are expected to limit daytime heating while allowing efficient nocturnal radiative cooling under lighter winds. This marks the coolest period of the month so far, consistent with late-August climatology where average lows decline toward 14 °C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, with only modest upside risk from clearer skies or downside from heavier rain, explaining the strong market concentration on 11–12 °C outcomes. Updated model runs through the weekend will refine the exact minimum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Paris le 22 août ?
La température la plus basse à Paris le 22 août ?
12°C 50%
11°C 32%
13°C 13%
10°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
22 août 2026
9°C ou moins
3%
10°C
10%
11°C
26%
12°C
50%
13°C
13%
14°C
10%
15°C
5%
16°C
2%
17°C
4%
18°C
<1%
19°C ou plus
<1%
12°C 50%
11°C 32%
13°C 13%
10°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
22 août 2026
9°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
3%
10°C
$0 Vol.
10%
11°C
$12 Vol.
26%
12°C
$546 Vol.
50%
13°C
$0 Vol.
13%
14°C
$0 Vol.
10%
15°C
$276 Vol.
5%
16°C
$5 Vol.
2%
17°C
$5 Vol.
4%
18°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
19°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate a shift to cooler northeasterly flow over northern France ahead of August 22, positioning Paris for minimum temperatures near 11–13 °C. Partly cloudy skies and a chance of light showers are expected to limit daytime heating while allowing efficient nocturnal radiative cooling under lighter winds. This marks the coolest period of the month so far, consistent with late-August climatology where average lows decline toward 14 °C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, with only modest upside risk from clearer skies or downside from heavier rain, explaining the strong market concentration on 11–12 °C outcomes. Updated model runs through the weekend will refine the exact minimum.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$848Date de fin
22 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate a shift to cooler northeasterly flow over northern France ahead of August 22, positioning Paris for minimum temperatures near 11–13 °C. Partly cloudy skies and a chance of light showers are expected to limit daytime heating while allowing efficient nocturnal radiative cooling under lighter winds. This marks the coolest period of the month so far, consistent with late-August climatology where average lows decline toward 14 °C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, with only modest upside risk from clearer skies or downside from heavier rain, explaining the strong market concentration on 11–12 °C outcomes. Updated model runs through the weekend will refine the exact minimum.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$848Date de fin
22 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate a shift to cooler northeasterly flow over northern France ahead of August 22, positioning Paris for minimum temperatures near 11–13 °C. Partly cloudy skies and a chance of light showers are expected to limit daytime heating while allowing efficient nocturnal radiative cooling under lighter winds. This marks the coolest period of the month so far, consistent with late-August climatology where average lows decline toward 14 °C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, with only modest upside risk from clearer skies or downside from heavier rain, explaining the strong market concentration on 11–12 °C outcomes. Updated model runs through the weekend will refine the exact minimum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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