**Persistent heavy rainfall and associated cloud cover across northern Taiwan are moderating overnight temperatures in Taipei, keeping the expected minimum for September 6 clustered in the mid-20s °C.** Official forecasts from sources including the Central Weather Administration and international models indicate lows near 23–25 °C, driven by moist westerly to northwesterly flow, high humidity (often above 90%), and reduced radiative cooling under overcast skies. These conditions align with the market’s tight clustering around 24–26 °C outcomes, reflecting trader consensus on limited diurnal temperature range amid ongoing showers. Final resolution will hinge on the precise 24-hour minimum recorded at official stations; updated model runs and CWA briefings through tonight and early September 6 remain the key near-term catalysts for any shifts in implied probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Taipei le 6 septembre ?
21°C 49%
22°C 49%
28°C 48%
25°C 37%
20°C ou moins
35%
21°C
49%
22°C
49%
23°C
26%
24°C
25%
25°C
37%
26°C
32%
27°C
26%
28°C
48%
29°C
2%
30°C ou plus
34%
21°C 49%
22°C 49%
28°C 48%
25°C 37%
20°C ou moins
35%
21°C
49%
22°C
49%
23°C
26%
24°C
25%
25°C
37%
26°C
32%
27°C
26%
28°C
48%
29°C
2%
30°C ou plus
34%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent heavy rainfall and associated cloud cover across northern Taiwan are moderating overnight temperatures in Taipei, keeping the expected minimum for September 6 clustered in the mid-20s °C.** Official forecasts from sources including the Central Weather Administration and international models indicate lows near 23–25 °C, driven by moist westerly to northwesterly flow, high humidity (often above 90%), and reduced radiative cooling under overcast skies. These conditions align with the market’s tight clustering around 24–26 °C outcomes, reflecting trader consensus on limited diurnal temperature range amid ongoing showers. Final resolution will hinge on the precise 24-hour minimum recorded at official stations; updated model runs and CWA briefings through tonight and early September 6 remain the key near-term catalysts for any shifts in implied probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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