Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models show Tokyo under cloudy skies with scattered showers on August 22, producing overnight lows near 24–25°C as reduced radiative cooling limits nighttime temperature drops amid high humidity. This aligns with typical mid-August climatology of 24–25°C minimums, where urban heat retention and southerly flow keep readings elevated. Trader consensus clusters on 25°C because ensemble guidance shows minimal cooling potential absent clear skies, while slight model spread on shower timing and cloud thickness sustains the 26°C possibility. Updated JMA briefings and refined short-range runs over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the implied probability gap before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Tokyo le 22 août ?
La température la plus basse à Tokyo le 22 août ?
25°C 47%
26°C 29%
27°C 10%
24°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
22 août 2026
21°C ou moins
1%
22°C
5%
23°C
7%
24°C
9%
25°C
47%
26°C
29%
27°C
10%
28°C
8%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C ou plus
<1%
25°C 47%
26°C 29%
27°C 10%
24°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
22 août 2026
21°C ou moins
$5 Vol.
1%
22°C
$0 Vol.
5%
23°C
$0 Vol.
7%
24°C
$15 Vol.
9%
25°C
$16 Vol.
47%
26°C
$0 Vol.
29%
27°C
$20 Vol.
10%
28°C
$5 Vol.
8%
29°C
$5 Vol.
1%
30°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
31°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models show Tokyo under cloudy skies with scattered showers on August 22, producing overnight lows near 24–25°C as reduced radiative cooling limits nighttime temperature drops amid high humidity. This aligns with typical mid-August climatology of 24–25°C minimums, where urban heat retention and southerly flow keep readings elevated. Trader consensus clusters on 25°C because ensemble guidance shows minimal cooling potential absent clear skies, while slight model spread on shower timing and cloud thickness sustains the 26°C possibility. Updated JMA briefings and refined short-range runs over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the implied probability gap before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$67Date de fin
22 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models show Tokyo under cloudy skies with scattered showers on August 22, producing overnight lows near 24–25°C as reduced radiative cooling limits nighttime temperature drops amid high humidity. This aligns with typical mid-August climatology of 24–25°C minimums, where urban heat retention and southerly flow keep readings elevated. Trader consensus clusters on 25°C because ensemble guidance shows minimal cooling potential absent clear skies, while slight model spread on shower timing and cloud thickness sustains the 26°C possibility. Updated JMA briefings and refined short-range runs over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the implied probability gap before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$67Date de fin
22 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models show Tokyo under cloudy skies with scattered showers on August 22, producing overnight lows near 24–25°C as reduced radiative cooling limits nighttime temperature drops amid high humidity. This aligns with typical mid-August climatology of 24–25°C minimums, where urban heat retention and southerly flow keep readings elevated. Trader consensus clusters on 25°C because ensemble guidance shows minimal cooling potential absent clear skies, while slight model spread on shower timing and cloud thickness sustains the 26°C possibility. Updated JMA briefings and refined short-range runs over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the implied probability gap before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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