Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and other models show persistent cloud cover and rain over Tokyo on September 19 driven by Tropical Storm Dujuan tracking northward, with expected minimum temperatures clustered near 19–22°C amid above-normal seasonal rainfall. This setup creates competing effects: extensive cloudiness reduces nighttime radiative cooling and supports milder lows, while northerly flow and heavy precipitation could advect cooler air or enhance evaporative cooling. The near-even market split between 16°C or below and 26°C or higher reflects model divergence on exact storm timing, intensity, and any post-frontal clearing that might allow greater diurnal temperature swings. Historical September minima average near 19°C, underscoring how the current anomalous moisture and circulation patterns heighten uncertainty for traders ahead of final observational data.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Tokyo le 19 septembre ?
20°C 40%
21°C 40%
19°C 37%
22°C 32%
16°C ou moins
2%
17°C
11%
18°C
18%
19°C
37%
20°C
40%
21°C
40%
22°C
32%
23°C
11%
24°C
7%
25°C
5%
26°C ou plus
5%
20°C 40%
21°C 40%
19°C 37%
22°C 32%
16°C ou moins
2%
17°C
11%
18°C
18%
19°C
37%
20°C
40%
21°C
40%
22°C
32%
23°C
11%
24°C
7%
25°C
5%
26°C ou plus
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and other models show persistent cloud cover and rain over Tokyo on September 19 driven by Tropical Storm Dujuan tracking northward, with expected minimum temperatures clustered near 19–22°C amid above-normal seasonal rainfall. This setup creates competing effects: extensive cloudiness reduces nighttime radiative cooling and supports milder lows, while northerly flow and heavy precipitation could advect cooler air or enhance evaporative cooling. The near-even market split between 16°C or below and 26°C or higher reflects model divergence on exact storm timing, intensity, and any post-frontal clearing that might allow greater diurnal temperature swings. Historical September minima average near 19°C, underscoring how the current anomalous moisture and circulation patterns heighten uncertainty for traders ahead of final observational data.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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