Disney’s live-action “Moana” opened to a soft $43 million domestically last weekend, well below pre-release tracking of $60 million-plus and the franchise benchmark set by the billion-dollar animated sequel “Moana 2.” That underwhelming debut, coupled with an A- CinemaScore and mixed word-of-mouth amid broader live-action remake fatigue, has shaped trader expectations for a roughly 50% second-weekend drop into the $19-20.5 million range. With the July 10 release still early in its run and no major competing family titles shifting the landscape immediately, the market reflects cautious optimism around modest legs rather than a steeper collapse or surprise rebound.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour« Moana (2026) » 2ème billetterie du week-end
« Moana (2026) » 2ème billetterie du week-end
19-20,5 M 50%
<16M 43%
16-17,5M 43%
17,5-19m 43%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 juil. 2026
<16M
43%
16-17,5M
43%
17,5-19m
43%
19-20,5 M
50%
20,5-22 M
43%
22M+
43%
19-20,5 M 50%
<16M 43%
16-17,5M 43%
17,5-19m 43%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 juil. 2026
<16M
$0 Vol.
43%
16-17,5M
$0 Vol.
43%
17,5-19m
$0 Vol.
43%
19-20,5 M
$0 Vol.
50%
20,5-22 M
$0 Vol.
43%
22M+
$0 Vol.
43%
This market will resolve according to how much "Moana" (2026) Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (July 17 - July 19) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by July 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Disney’s live-action “Moana” opened to a soft $43 million domestically last weekend, well below pre-release tracking of $60 million-plus and the franchise benchmark set by the billion-dollar animated sequel “Moana 2.” That underwhelming debut, coupled with an A- CinemaScore and mixed word-of-mouth amid broader live-action remake fatigue, has shaped trader expectations for a roughly 50% second-weekend drop into the $19-20.5 million range. With the July 10 release still early in its run and no major competing family titles shifting the landscape immediately, the market reflects cautious optimism around modest legs rather than a steeper collapse or surprise rebound.
This market will resolve according to how much "Moana" (2026) Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (July 17 - July 19) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by July 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by July 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Marché ouvert : Jul 16, 2026, 10:12 PM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
19 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 16, 2026, 10:12 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Moana" (2026) Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (July 17 - July 19) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by July 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Disney’s live-action “Moana” opened to a soft $43 million domestically last weekend, well below pre-release tracking of $60 million-plus and the franchise benchmark set by the billion-dollar animated sequel “Moana 2.” That underwhelming debut, coupled with an A- CinemaScore and mixed word-of-mouth amid broader live-action remake fatigue, has shaped trader expectations for a roughly 50% second-weekend drop into the $19-20.5 million range. With the July 10 release still early in its run and no major competing family titles shifting the landscape immediately, the market reflects cautious optimism around modest legs rather than a steeper collapse or surprise rebound.
This market will resolve according to how much "Moana" (2026) Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (July 17 - July 19) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by July 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by July 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$0Date de fin
19 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 16, 2026, 10:12 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Disney’s live-action “Moana” opened to a soft $43 million domestically last weekend, well below pre-release tracking of $60 million-plus and the franchise benchmark set by the billion-dollar animated sequel “Moana 2.” That underwhelming debut, coupled with an A- CinemaScore and mixed word-of-mouth amid broader live-action remake fatigue, has shaped trader expectations for a roughly 50% second-weekend drop into the $19-20.5 million range. With the July 10 release still early in its run and no major competing family titles shifting the landscape immediately, the market reflects cautious optimism around modest legs rather than a steeper collapse or surprise rebound.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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