Ongoing Ukrainian drone strikes targeting the Moscow region have repeatedly prompted Russian authorities to impose temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures at Sheremetyevo, Domodedovo, Vnukovo, and Zhukovsky airports for safety reasons. The largest such incident occurred on June 18, 2026, when intercepts of over 180 drones near the capital led to multiple closures lasting several hours amid strikes on infrastructure like the Moscow Oil Refinery. These disruptions reflect escalation patterns in the Russia-Ukraine conflict, with air traffic control adjustments and debris risks driving the measures. Trader positioning tracks the frequency and scale of such attacks, alongside any diplomatic signals or military responses that could alter strike intensity through late August.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTrafic aérien moscovite suspendu par… ?
Trafic aérien moscovite suspendu par… ?
NOUVEAU
31 août 2026
31 août
82%
15 septembre
85%
30 septembre
90%
$709 Vol.
31 août
$642 Vol.
82%
15 septembre
$64 Vol.
85%
30 septembre
$4 Vol.
90%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russian government or aviation authorities suspend departures and arrivals at all three of the following Moscow airports at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing Ukrainian drone strikes targeting the Moscow region have repeatedly prompted Russian authorities to impose temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures at Sheremetyevo, Domodedovo, Vnukovo, and Zhukovsky airports for safety reasons. The largest such incident occurred on June 18, 2026, when intercepts of over 180 drones near the capital led to multiple closures lasting several hours amid strikes on infrastructure like the Moscow Oil Refinery. These disruptions reflect escalation patterns in the Russia-Ukraine conflict, with air traffic control adjustments and debris risks driving the measures. Trader positioning tracks the frequency and scale of such attacks, alongside any diplomatic signals or military responses that could alter strike intensity through late August.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russian government or aviation authorities suspend departures and arrivals at all three of the following Moscow airports at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Aug 18, 2026, 3:15 PM ET
Volume
$709Date de fin
30 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 18, 2026, 3:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russian government or aviation authorities suspend departures and arrivals at all three of the following Moscow airports at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing Ukrainian drone strikes targeting the Moscow region have repeatedly prompted Russian authorities to impose temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures at Sheremetyevo, Domodedovo, Vnukovo, and Zhukovsky airports for safety reasons. The largest such incident occurred on June 18, 2026, when intercepts of over 180 drones near the capital led to multiple closures lasting several hours amid strikes on infrastructure like the Moscow Oil Refinery. These disruptions reflect escalation patterns in the Russia-Ukraine conflict, with air traffic control adjustments and debris risks driving the measures. Trader positioning tracks the frequency and scale of such attacks, alongside any diplomatic signals or military responses that could alter strike intensity through late August.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russian government or aviation authorities suspend departures and arrivals at all three of the following Moscow airports at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$709Date de fin
30 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 18, 2026, 3:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing Ukrainian drone strikes targeting the Moscow region have repeatedly prompted Russian authorities to impose temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures at Sheremetyevo, Domodedovo, Vnukovo, and Zhukovsky airports for safety reasons. The largest such incident occurred on June 18, 2026, when intercepts of over 180 drones near the capital led to multiple closures lasting several hours amid strikes on infrastructure like the Moscow Oil Refinery. These disruptions reflect escalation patterns in the Russia-Ukraine conflict, with air traffic control adjustments and debris risks driving the measures. Trader positioning tracks the frequency and scale of such attacks, alongside any diplomatic signals or military responses that could alter strike intensity through late August.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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