Ukraine's political institutions remain stable under extended martial law, which suspends elections and concentrates authority in President Zelenskyy's administration amid the ongoing Russian invasion. Recent weeks featured a short-lived U.S.-brokered ceasefire attempt in early May 2026 that collapsed into renewed clashes without triggering any reported internal dissent or military fractures. Elite cohesion persists around frontline defense and Western aid coordination, while Russian information operations continue to promote unsubstantiated narratives of Ukrainian instability that lack independent verification. Traders assign over 97 percent probability to no coup attempt by June 30 because verifiable indicators of elite defection, mass mobilization protests, or institutional breakdown remain absent. A sudden catastrophic territorial loss or explosive corruption revelation could still alter the trajectory before the resolution date.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
$12,266 Vol.
$12,266 Vol.
30 juin 2026
Oui
$12,266 Vol.
$12,266 Vol.
30 juin 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ukraine's political institutions remain stable under extended martial law, which suspends elections and concentrates authority in President Zelenskyy's administration amid the ongoing Russian invasion. Recent weeks featured a short-lived U.S.-brokered ceasefire attempt in early May 2026 that collapsed into renewed clashes without triggering any reported internal dissent or military fractures. Elite cohesion persists around frontline defense and Western aid coordination, while Russian information operations continue to promote unsubstantiated narratives of Ukrainian instability that lack independent verification. Traders assign over 97 percent probability to no coup attempt by June 30 because verifiable indicators of elite defection, mass mobilization protests, or institutional breakdown remain absent. A sudden catastrophic territorial loss or explosive corruption revelation could still alter the trajectory before the resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Dec 29, 2025, 4:46 PM ET
Volume
$12,266Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 29, 2025, 4:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ukraine's political institutions remain stable under extended martial law, which suspends elections and concentrates authority in President Zelenskyy's administration amid the ongoing Russian invasion. Recent weeks featured a short-lived U.S.-brokered ceasefire attempt in early May 2026 that collapsed into renewed clashes without triggering any reported internal dissent or military fractures. Elite cohesion persists around frontline defense and Western aid coordination, while Russian information operations continue to promote unsubstantiated narratives of Ukrainian instability that lack independent verification. Traders assign over 97 percent probability to no coup attempt by June 30 because verifiable indicators of elite defection, mass mobilization protests, or institutional breakdown remain absent. A sudden catastrophic territorial loss or explosive corruption revelation could still alter the trajectory before the resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$12,266Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 29, 2025, 4:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ukraine's political institutions remain stable under extended martial law, which suspends elections and concentrates authority in President Zelenskyy's administration amid the ongoing Russian invasion. Recent weeks featured a short-lived U.S.-brokered ceasefire attempt in early May 2026 that collapsed into renewed clashes without triggering any reported internal dissent or military fractures. Elite cohesion persists around frontline defense and Western aid coordination, while Russian information operations continue to promote unsubstantiated narratives of Ukrainian instability that lack independent verification. Traders assign over 97 percent probability to no coup attempt by June 30 because verifiable indicators of elite defection, mass mobilization protests, or institutional breakdown remain absent. A sudden catastrophic territorial loss or explosive corruption revelation could still alter the trajectory before the resolution date.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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