Ukraine maintains political continuity under President Zelenskyy amid the Russia conflict, with no verified coup attempts or major internal power seizures reported through mid-2026. Trader sentiment aligns with this stability, reflecting the absence of triggers such as large-scale military defections, parliamentary seizures, or elite challenges, even as periodic protests arose over anticorruption measures, EU accession strains, and July 2026 leadership changes including the sacking of the military chief. Scheduled events like potential diplomatic summits or legislative votes on defense policy could influence internal cohesion, while the active war environment raises baseline risks of unrest without shifting the current low implied probability of a widely reported coup attempt by year-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$169,153 Vol.
31 décembre
8%
$169,153 Vol.
31 décembre
8%
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Jun 24, 2026, 8:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ukraine maintains political continuity under President Zelenskyy amid the Russia conflict, with no verified coup attempts or major internal power seizures reported through mid-2026. Trader sentiment aligns with this stability, reflecting the absence of triggers such as large-scale military defections, parliamentary seizures, or elite challenges, even as periodic protests arose over anticorruption measures, EU accession strains, and July 2026 leadership changes including the sacking of the military chief. Scheduled events like potential diplomatic summits or legislative votes on defense policy could influence internal cohesion, while the active war environment raises baseline risks of unrest without shifting the current low implied probability of a widely reported coup attempt by year-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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