Ukraine's ongoing war with Russia has kept domestic political focus on external defense and diplomatic negotiations rather than internal power transitions, with recent Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian energy infrastructure and port facilities in August 2026 reinforcing military cohesion under President Zelenskyy. No verified coup plots or elite fractures have surfaced since the thwarted 2024 allegations, and martial law continues to suspend elections while prioritizing wartime unity. Trader pricing reflects these conditions, assigning low probability to a coup attempt by year-end amid active hostilities and ongoing U.S.-European security talks. Upcoming parliamentary sessions or shifts in ceasefire proposals could introduce volatility if they highlight economic strains or opposition divisions, though historical patterns during sustained conflicts show internal challenges remain rare without acute leadership vacuums or major battlefield reversals.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$169,141 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
31 décembre
8%
$169,141 Vol.
31 décembre
$151,305 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ukraine's ongoing war with Russia has kept domestic political focus on external defense and diplomatic negotiations rather than internal power transitions, with recent Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian energy infrastructure and port facilities in August 2026 reinforcing military cohesion under President Zelenskyy. No verified coup plots or elite fractures have surfaced since the thwarted 2024 allegations, and martial law continues to suspend elections while prioritizing wartime unity. Trader pricing reflects these conditions, assigning low probability to a coup attempt by year-end amid active hostilities and ongoing U.S.-European security talks. Upcoming parliamentary sessions or shifts in ceasefire proposals could introduce volatility if they highlight economic strains or opposition divisions, though historical patterns during sustained conflicts show internal challenges remain rare without acute leadership vacuums or major battlefield reversals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Jun 24, 2026, 8:28 PM ET
Volume
$169,141Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 24, 2026, 8:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ukraine's ongoing war with Russia has kept domestic political focus on external defense and diplomatic negotiations rather than internal power transitions, with recent Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian energy infrastructure and port facilities in August 2026 reinforcing military cohesion under President Zelenskyy. No verified coup plots or elite fractures have surfaced since the thwarted 2024 allegations, and martial law continues to suspend elections while prioritizing wartime unity. Trader pricing reflects these conditions, assigning low probability to a coup attempt by year-end amid active hostilities and ongoing U.S.-European security talks. Upcoming parliamentary sessions or shifts in ceasefire proposals could introduce volatility if they highlight economic strains or opposition divisions, though historical patterns during sustained conflicts show internal challenges remain rare without acute leadership vacuums or major battlefield reversals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$169,141Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 24, 2026, 8:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ukraine's ongoing war with Russia has kept domestic political focus on external defense and diplomatic negotiations rather than internal power transitions, with recent Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian energy infrastructure and port facilities in August 2026 reinforcing military cohesion under President Zelenskyy. No verified coup plots or elite fractures have surfaced since the thwarted 2024 allegations, and martial law continues to suspend elections while prioritizing wartime unity. Trader pricing reflects these conditions, assigning low probability to a coup attempt by year-end amid active hostilities and ongoing U.S.-European security talks. Upcoming parliamentary sessions or shifts in ceasefire proposals could introduce volatility if they highlight economic strains or opposition divisions, though historical patterns during sustained conflicts show internal challenges remain rare without acute leadership vacuums or major battlefield reversals.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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