Google’s I/O 2026 keynote, where Sundar Pichai stated Gemini 3.5 Pro would arrive “next month” after shipping 3.5 Flash, remains the dominant catalyst anchoring trader expectations for a June release. The 3.5 Pro iteration is positioned to restore advanced reasoning and long-context performance that Flash reportedly regressed on, while matching its gains in coding and agentic benchmarks, amid direct competition from OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 and Anthropic’s Claude 4 variants. Historical Google patterns of iterative 3.x updates, internal testing cycles, and the absence of new regulatory or supply-chain hurdles support the tight clustering of probabilities across mid-to-late June dates. Key swing factors include final benchmark validation and any last-minute feature refinements before general availability via the Gemini API and Vertex AI.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour30 juin 32%
23 juin 23%
Aucune sortie d'ici le 30 juin 13.5%
22 juin 6.0%
$114,917 Vol.
$114,917 Vol.
30 juin 2026
13 juin
<1%
14 juin
<1%
15 juin
<1%
16 juin
2%
17 juin
1%
18 juin
4%
19 juin
2%
20 juin
1%
21 juin
1%
22 juin
6%
23 juin
23%
24 juin
4%
25 juin
2%
26 juin
6%
27 juin
1%
28 juin
<1%
29 juin
<1%
30 juin
32%
Aucune sortie d'ici le 30 juin
13%
30 juin 32%
23 juin 23%
Aucune sortie d'ici le 30 juin 13.5%
22 juin 6.0%
$114,917 Vol.
$114,917 Vol.
30 juin 2026
13 juin
$3,166 Vol.
<1%
14 juin
$2,635 Vol.
<1%
15 juin
$1,936 Vol.
<1%
16 juin
$3,410 Vol.
2%
17 juin
$3,529 Vol.
1%
18 juin
$2,595 Vol.
4%
19 juin
$2,546 Vol.
2%
20 juin
$1,452 Vol.
1%
21 juin
$1,501 Vol.
1%
22 juin
$4,593 Vol.
6%
23 juin
$4,536 Vol.
23%
24 juin
$2,942 Vol.
4%
25 juin
$1,439 Vol.
2%
26 juin
$3,348 Vol.
6%
27 juin
$2,019 Vol.
1%
28 juin
$1,365 Vol.
<1%
29 juin
$1,805 Vol.
<1%
30 juin
$5,928 Vol.
32%
Aucune sortie d'ici le 30 juin
$17,747 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s I/O 2026 keynote, where Sundar Pichai stated Gemini 3.5 Pro would arrive “next month” after shipping 3.5 Flash, remains the dominant catalyst anchoring trader expectations for a June release. The 3.5 Pro iteration is positioned to restore advanced reasoning and long-context performance that Flash reportedly regressed on, while matching its gains in coding and agentic benchmarks, amid direct competition from OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 and Anthropic’s Claude 4 variants. Historical Google patterns of iterative 3.x updates, internal testing cycles, and the absence of new regulatory or supply-chain hurdles support the tight clustering of probabilities across mid-to-late June dates. Key swing factors include final benchmark validation and any last-minute feature refinements before general availability via the Gemini API and Vertex AI.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ET
Volume
$114,917Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s I/O 2026 keynote, where Sundar Pichai stated Gemini 3.5 Pro would arrive “next month” after shipping 3.5 Flash, remains the dominant catalyst anchoring trader expectations for a June release. The 3.5 Pro iteration is positioned to restore advanced reasoning and long-context performance that Flash reportedly regressed on, while matching its gains in coding and agentic benchmarks, amid direct competition from OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 and Anthropic’s Claude 4 variants. Historical Google patterns of iterative 3.x updates, internal testing cycles, and the absence of new regulatory or supply-chain hurdles support the tight clustering of probabilities across mid-to-late June dates. Key swing factors include final benchmark validation and any last-minute feature refinements before general availability via the Gemini API and Vertex AI.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$114,917Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Google’s I/O 2026 keynote, where Sundar Pichai stated Gemini 3.5 Pro would arrive “next month” after shipping 3.5 Flash, remains the dominant catalyst anchoring trader expectations for a June release. The 3.5 Pro iteration is positioned to restore advanced reasoning and long-context performance that Flash reportedly regressed on, while matching its gains in coding and agentic benchmarks, amid direct competition from OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 and Anthropic’s Claude 4 variants. Historical Google patterns of iterative 3.x updates, internal testing cycles, and the absence of new regulatory or supply-chain hurdles support the tight clustering of probabilities across mid-to-late June dates. Key swing factors include final benchmark validation and any last-minute feature refinements before general availability via the Gemini API and Vertex AI.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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