Recent polls show the Parti Québécois maintaining a clear lead at around 30 percent, leaving the Quebec Liberal Party and Coalition Avenir Québec in a tight contest for second place ahead of the October 5 election. Latest Léger and other surveys place both at 23 percent, reflecting a modest CAQ rebound under new leader Christine Fréchette at the expense of the PLQ and Québec solidaire. Regional fragmentation sustains the closeness, with the PLQ dominant on Montreal Island while the CAQ and PCQ compete strongly in Quebec City and other francophone areas. Voter consolidation and undecideds nearing 50 percent in some measures keep the race fluid, and the official campaign launch could produce further shifts in second-choice preferences that determine official opposition status.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourCAQ 49%
PQ 25%
QS 24%
PCQ 24%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 oct. 2026
CAQ
49%
PQ
25%
QS
24%
PCQ
24%
PVQ
23%
PLQ
47%
CAQ 49%
PQ 25%
QS 24%
PCQ 24%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 oct. 2026
CAQ
$0 Vol.
49%
PQ
$0 Vol.
25%
QS
$107 Vol.
24%
PCQ
$45 Vol.
24%
PVQ
$171 Vol.
23%
PLQ
$110 Vol.
47%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polls show the Parti Québécois maintaining a clear lead at around 30 percent, leaving the Quebec Liberal Party and Coalition Avenir Québec in a tight contest for second place ahead of the October 5 election. Latest Léger and other surveys place both at 23 percent, reflecting a modest CAQ rebound under new leader Christine Fréchette at the expense of the PLQ and Québec solidaire. Regional fragmentation sustains the closeness, with the PLQ dominant on Montreal Island while the CAQ and PCQ compete strongly in Quebec City and other francophone areas. Voter consolidation and undecideds nearing 50 percent in some measures keep the race fluid, and the official campaign launch could produce further shifts in second-choice preferences that determine official opposition status.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Marché ouvert : Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
Volume
$432Date de fin
5 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polls show the Parti Québécois maintaining a clear lead at around 30 percent, leaving the Quebec Liberal Party and Coalition Avenir Québec in a tight contest for second place ahead of the October 5 election. Latest Léger and other surveys place both at 23 percent, reflecting a modest CAQ rebound under new leader Christine Fréchette at the expense of the PLQ and Québec solidaire. Regional fragmentation sustains the closeness, with the PLQ dominant on Montreal Island while the CAQ and PCQ compete strongly in Quebec City and other francophone areas. Voter consolidation and undecideds nearing 50 percent in some measures keep the race fluid, and the official campaign launch could produce further shifts in second-choice preferences that determine official opposition status.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volume
$432Date de fin
5 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls show the Parti Québécois maintaining a clear lead at around 30 percent, leaving the Quebec Liberal Party and Coalition Avenir Québec in a tight contest for second place ahead of the October 5 election. Latest Léger and other surveys place both at 23 percent, reflecting a modest CAQ rebound under new leader Christine Fréchette at the expense of the PLQ and Québec solidaire. Regional fragmentation sustains the closeness, with the PLQ dominant on Montreal Island while the CAQ and PCQ compete strongly in Quebec City and other francophone areas. Voter consolidation and undecideds nearing 50 percent in some measures keep the race fluid, and the official campaign launch could produce further shifts in second-choice preferences that determine official opposition status.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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