Recent polls show the Parti Québécois leading at roughly 30 percent, with the Coalition Avenir Québec rising to tie the Parti Libéral du Québec at 23 percent and the Parti Conservateur du Québec at 16 percent, leaving multiple parties clustered near the threshold for third place. Regional fragmentation, particularly three-way contests in Quebec City and varying francophone versus non-francophone support, sustains this closeness, while nearly half of decided voters remain open to switching preferences before the October 5 vote. The official campaign launch in late August and upcoming debates could shift momentum among second-choice options or regional strongholds, potentially clarifying the ordering among CAQ, PLQ, PCQ, and QS.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourPLQ 27%
CAQ 27%
PCQ 21%
QS 18%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 oct. 2026
PLQ
27%
CAQ
27%
PCQ
21%
QS
18%
PQ
29%
PVQ
1%
PLQ 27%
CAQ 27%
PCQ 21%
QS 18%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 oct. 2026
PLQ
$0 Vol.
27%
CAQ
$0 Vol.
27%
PCQ
$0 Vol.
21%
QS
$61 Vol.
18%
PQ
$40 Vol.
29%
PVQ
$177 Vol.
1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polls show the Parti Québécois leading at roughly 30 percent, with the Coalition Avenir Québec rising to tie the Parti Libéral du Québec at 23 percent and the Parti Conservateur du Québec at 16 percent, leaving multiple parties clustered near the threshold for third place. Regional fragmentation, particularly three-way contests in Quebec City and varying francophone versus non-francophone support, sustains this closeness, while nearly half of decided voters remain open to switching preferences before the October 5 vote. The official campaign launch in late August and upcoming debates could shift momentum among second-choice options or regional strongholds, potentially clarifying the ordering among CAQ, PLQ, PCQ, and QS.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Marché ouvert : Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
Volume
$278Date de fin
5 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polls show the Parti Québécois leading at roughly 30 percent, with the Coalition Avenir Québec rising to tie the Parti Libéral du Québec at 23 percent and the Parti Conservateur du Québec at 16 percent, leaving multiple parties clustered near the threshold for third place. Regional fragmentation, particularly three-way contests in Quebec City and varying francophone versus non-francophone support, sustains this closeness, while nearly half of decided voters remain open to switching preferences before the October 5 vote. The official campaign launch in late August and upcoming debates could shift momentum among second-choice options or regional strongholds, potentially clarifying the ordering among CAQ, PLQ, PCQ, and QS.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volume
$278Date de fin
5 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls show the Parti Québécois leading at roughly 30 percent, with the Coalition Avenir Québec rising to tie the Parti Libéral du Québec at 23 percent and the Parti Conservateur du Québec at 16 percent, leaving multiple parties clustered near the threshold for third place. Regional fragmentation, particularly three-way contests in Quebec City and varying francophone versus non-francophone support, sustains this closeness, while nearly half of decided voters remain open to switching preferences before the October 5 vote. The official campaign launch in late August and upcoming debates could shift momentum among second-choice options or regional strongholds, potentially clarifying the ordering among CAQ, PLQ, PCQ, and QS.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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