**Soft Thursday previews of just $850,000 have anchored trader sentiment for a sub-$8 million domestic opening weekend for Ridley Scott’s post-apocalyptic thriller The Dog Stars.** The 20th Century Studios release, starring Jacob Elordi and Josh Brolin, entered its Aug. 28 wide bow with tracking already pared back to the $10–14 million range after earlier forecasts of $18–23 million. Mixed-to-poor reviews (Rotten Tomatoes in the mid-30s to low-40s) and a low-key marketing push have further suppressed presales, while competition from holdover Spider-Man: Brand New Day and same-weekend title Coyote vs. Acme limits available audience. The market’s overwhelming 97 percent-plus implied probability for under $8 million reflects these confirmed indicators; an upset above that threshold would require substantially stronger word-of-mouth or lighter-than-expected counterprogramming than current exhibition data suggest.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourBox-office d'ouverture du week-end « The Dog Stars »
Box-office d'ouverture du week-end « The Dog Stars »
<8 M 97.2%
8-9 millions 1.9%
9-10 M <1%
10-11 M <1%
$34,051 Vol.
$34,051 Vol.
30 août 2026
<8 M
97%
8-9 millions
2%
9-10 M
1%
10-11 M
<1%
11-12M
<1%
12M+
<1%
<8 M 97.2%
8-9 millions 1.9%
9-10 M <1%
10-11 M <1%
$34,051 Vol.
$34,051 Vol.
30 août 2026
<8 M
$23,686 Vol.
97%
8-9 millions
$3,998 Vol.
2%
9-10 M
$4,072 Vol.
1%
10-11 M
$1,083 Vol.
<1%
11-12M
$371 Vol.
<1%
12M+
$841 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to how much "The Dog Stars" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (August 28 - 30) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Soft Thursday previews of just $850,000 have anchored trader sentiment for a sub-$8 million domestic opening weekend for Ridley Scott’s post-apocalyptic thriller The Dog Stars.**
The 20th Century Studios release, starring Jacob Elordi and Josh Brolin, entered its Aug. 28 wide bow with tracking already pared back to the $10–14 million range after earlier forecasts of $18–23 million. Mixed-to-poor reviews (Rotten Tomatoes in the mid-30s to low-40s) and a low-key marketing push have further suppressed presales, while competition from holdover Spider-Man: Brand New Day and same-weekend title Coyote vs. Acme limits available audience.
The market’s overwhelming 97 percent-plus implied probability for under $8 million reflects these confirmed indicators; an upset above that threshold would require substantially stronger word-of-mouth or lighter-than-expected counterprogramming than current exhibition data suggest.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Dog Stars" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (August 28 - 30) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Marché ouvert : Aug 26, 2026, 7:58 PM ET
Volume
$34,051Date de fin
30 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 26, 2026, 7:58 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "The Dog Stars" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (August 28 - 30) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Soft Thursday previews of just $850,000 have anchored trader sentiment for a sub-$8 million domestic opening weekend for Ridley Scott’s post-apocalyptic thriller The Dog Stars.**
The 20th Century Studios release, starring Jacob Elordi and Josh Brolin, entered its Aug. 28 wide bow with tracking already pared back to the $10–14 million range after earlier forecasts of $18–23 million. Mixed-to-poor reviews (Rotten Tomatoes in the mid-30s to low-40s) and a low-key marketing push have further suppressed presales, while competition from holdover Spider-Man: Brand New Day and same-weekend title Coyote vs. Acme limits available audience.
The market’s overwhelming 97 percent-plus implied probability for under $8 million reflects these confirmed indicators; an upset above that threshold would require substantially stronger word-of-mouth or lighter-than-expected counterprogramming than current exhibition data suggest.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Dog Stars" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (August 28 - 30) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$34,051Date de fin
30 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 26, 2026, 7:58 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Soft Thursday previews of just $850,000 have anchored trader sentiment for a sub-$8 million domestic opening weekend for Ridley Scott’s post-apocalyptic thriller The Dog Stars.** The 20th Century Studios release, starring Jacob Elordi and Josh Brolin, entered its Aug. 28 wide bow with tracking already pared back to the $10–14 million range after earlier forecasts of $18–23 million. Mixed-to-poor reviews (Rotten Tomatoes in the mid-30s to low-40s) and a low-key marketing push have further suppressed presales, while competition from holdover Spider-Man: Brand New Day and same-weekend title Coyote vs. Acme limits available audience. The market’s overwhelming 97 percent-plus implied probability for under $8 million reflects these confirmed indicators; an upset above that threshold would require substantially stronger word-of-mouth or lighter-than-expected counterprogramming than current exhibition data suggest.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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