Iran’s government has repeatedly imposed near-total internet blackouts during periods of domestic unrest and external conflict, most recently sustaining an 88-day nationwide shutdown from late February through late May 2026 amid protests and U.S.-Israeli strikes. Connectivity partially resumed after May but remains heavily restricted, with slow speeds, blocked international platforms, ineffective VPNs, and tiered “whitelisted” access favoring officials. Recent September 2026 reports confirm ongoing disruptions tied to new protests, while authorities advance legislation and infrastructure projects—including Huawei-linked systems and an expanded National Information Network—to enable more precise, potentially permanent isolation of global traffic. Economic damage from prior outages and elite preferences for controlled access continue to shape decisions on whether to trigger another full cutoff.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$248,032 Vol.
30 sept. 2026
30 septembre
6%
31 décembre
32%
$248,032 Vol.
30 septembre
$6,319 Vol.
6%
31 décembre
$12,262 Vol.
32%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iran’s government has repeatedly imposed near-total internet blackouts during periods of domestic unrest and external conflict, most recently sustaining an 88-day nationwide shutdown from late February through late May 2026 amid protests and U.S.-Israeli strikes. Connectivity partially resumed after May but remains heavily restricted, with slow speeds, blocked international platforms, ineffective VPNs, and tiered “whitelisted” access favoring officials. Recent September 2026 reports confirm ongoing disruptions tied to new protests, while authorities advance legislation and infrastructure projects—including Huawei-linked systems and an expanded National Information Network—to enable more precise, potentially permanent isolation of global traffic. Economic damage from prior outages and elite preferences for controlled access continue to shape decisions on whether to trigger another full cutoff.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Aug 7, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
Volume
$248,032Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 7, 2026, 10:29 AM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iran’s government has repeatedly imposed near-total internet blackouts during periods of domestic unrest and external conflict, most recently sustaining an 88-day nationwide shutdown from late February through late May 2026 amid protests and U.S.-Israeli strikes. Connectivity partially resumed after May but remains heavily restricted, with slow speeds, blocked international platforms, ineffective VPNs, and tiered “whitelisted” access favoring officials. Recent September 2026 reports confirm ongoing disruptions tied to new protests, while authorities advance legislation and infrastructure projects—including Huawei-linked systems and an expanded National Information Network—to enable more precise, potentially permanent isolation of global traffic. Economic damage from prior outages and elite preferences for controlled access continue to shape decisions on whether to trigger another full cutoff.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$248,032Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 7, 2026, 10:29 AM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...Iran’s government has repeatedly imposed near-total internet blackouts during periods of domestic unrest and external conflict, most recently sustaining an 88-day nationwide shutdown from late February through late May 2026 amid protests and U.S.-Israeli strikes. Connectivity partially resumed after May but remains heavily restricted, with slow speeds, blocked international platforms, ineffective VPNs, and tiered “whitelisted” access favoring officials. Recent September 2026 reports confirm ongoing disruptions tied to new protests, while authorities advance legislation and infrastructure projects—including Huawei-linked systems and an expanded National Information Network—to enable more precise, potentially permanent isolation of global traffic. Economic damage from prior outages and elite preferences for controlled access continue to shape decisions on whether to trigger another full cutoff.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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