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icon for Trump allègue l'ingérence de la Géorgie dans les élections étrangères d'ici le 16 juillet ?

Trump allègue l'ingérence de la Géorgie dans les élections étrangères d'ici le 16 juillet ?

icon for Trump allègue l'ingérence de la Géorgie dans les élections étrangères d'ici le 16 juillet ?

Trump allègue l'ingérence de la Géorgie dans les élections étrangères d'ici le 16 juillet ?

Oui

39% chance
Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Oui

39% chance
Polymarket
NOUVEAU
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly alleges interference by a foreign actor has occurred in any election in Georgia between market creation and July 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying interference includes, but is not limited to: manipulation of vote tallies or voting machines; hacking of election infrastructure; casting of fraudulent ballots; coordinated disinformation or influence campaigns intended to alter the election's outcome; or illegal foreign funding of campaigns. Allegations limited to procedural irregularities, administrative errors, ordinary lobbying, legal foreign media coverage, or fraud of domestic or unspecified origin will not qualify. The alleged interference must be attributed to a specific foreign government, foreign state-affiliated entity, foreign organization, or foreign nationals acting in that capacity. The actor must be identified at least at the national level (e.g., "China," "Russian operatives," "Iranian hackers"). Allegations against domestic actors, including US-based companies, media organizations, political parties, or election officials, will not qualify. Qualifying statements must explicitly or through context unambiguously refer to the state of Georgia. A qualifying statement must definitively allege that election interference occurred. Statements that are clearly satirical, hypothetical, or rhetorical will not qualify (e.g., "Did China interfere? Who knows," "If China interfered...", "They could easily interfere”). A statement need not use the word "interference." Any phrasing that communicates the elements above (e.g., "China stole the Georgia Senate election," "Russia rigged the vote in Geogia") will qualify. Reposts, retweets, or shares of third-party content will qualify only if accompanied by original commentary from Trump that itself meets the criteria above, or if the repost includes an unambiguous endorsement of a qualifying claim (e.g., "TRUE!"). A bare repost without comment will not qualify. Statements made by representatives will not alone qualify. Reports of private conversations, leaked audio not intended for public release, and secondhand accounts will not qualify. Any public statement from the listed individual, written or verbal, will qualify. Speeches in which the listed individual begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their allegation falls outside the market’s timeframe. The resolution source for this market will be public statements by Donald Trump.**No recent public statements, scheduled announcements, or verified reporting indicate that President Trump plans to allege foreign election interference by the country of Georgia before the July 16 deadline.** The longstanding 2020 Georgia (U.S. state) election-related legal matters concluded in late 2025 with charges dropped, and no new developments tie into foreign interference claims. Speculation on social media about possible remarks in an upcoming address exists but lacks confirmation from official sources or Trump’s own communications. Traders appear to view the absence of concrete catalysts—such as declassification orders, press events, or diplomatic statements—as the dominant factor supporting the 59% implied probability on “No.” Resolution hinges strictly on whether Trump makes the specific allegation by the cutoff, with no structural barriers or high-probability triggers evident in the immediate window.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly alleges interference by a foreign actor has occurred in any election in Georgia between market creation and July 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Qualifying interference includes, but is not limited to: manipulation of vote tallies or voting machines; hacking of election infrastructure; casting of fraudulent ballots; coordinated disinformation or influence campaigns intended to alter the election's outcome; or illegal foreign funding of campaigns. Allegations limited to procedural irregularities, administrative errors, ordinary lobbying, legal foreign media coverage, or fraud of domestic or unspecified origin will not qualify.

The alleged interference must be attributed to a specific foreign government, foreign state-affiliated entity, foreign organization, or foreign nationals acting in that capacity. The actor must be identified at least at the national level (e.g., "China," "Russian operatives," "Iranian hackers"). Allegations against domestic actors, including US-based companies, media organizations, political parties, or election officials, will not qualify.

Qualifying statements must explicitly or through context unambiguously refer to the state of Georgia.

A qualifying statement must definitively allege that election interference occurred. Statements that are clearly satirical, hypothetical, or rhetorical will not qualify (e.g., "Did China interfere? Who knows," "If China interfered...", "They could easily interfere”).

A statement need not use the word "interference." Any phrasing that communicates the elements above (e.g., "China stole the Georgia Senate election," "Russia rigged the vote in Geogia") will qualify.

Reposts, retweets, or shares of third-party content will qualify only if accompanied by original commentary from Trump that itself meets the criteria above, or if the repost includes an unambiguous endorsement of a qualifying claim (e.g., "TRUE!"). A bare repost without comment will not qualify.

Statements made by representatives will not alone qualify. Reports of private conversations, leaked audio not intended for public release, and secondhand accounts will not qualify.

Any public statement from the listed individual, written or verbal, will qualify. Speeches in which the listed individual begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their allegation falls outside the market’s timeframe.

The resolution source for this market will be public statements by Donald Trump.
Volume
$0
Date de fin
16 juil. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jul 14, 2026, 1:51 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly alleges interference by a foreign actor has occurred in any election in Georgia between market creation and July 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying interference includes, but is not limited to: manipulation of vote tallies or voting machines; hacking of election infrastructure; casting of fraudulent ballots; coordinated disinformation or influence campaigns intended to alter the election's outcome; or illegal foreign funding of campaigns. Allegations limited to procedural irregularities, administrative errors, ordinary lobbying, legal foreign media coverage, or fraud of domestic or unspecified origin will not qualify. The alleged interference must be attributed to a specific foreign government, foreign state-affiliated entity, foreign organization, or foreign nationals acting in that capacity. The actor must be identified at least at the national level (e.g., "China," "Russian operatives," "Iranian hackers"). Allegations against domestic actors, including US-based companies, media organizations, political parties, or election officials, will not qualify. Qualifying statements must explicitly or through context unambiguously refer to the state of Georgia. A qualifying statement must definitively allege that election interference occurred. Statements that are clearly satirical, hypothetical, or rhetorical will not qualify (e.g., "Did China interfere? Who knows," "If China interfered...", "They could easily interfere”). A statement need not use the word "interference." Any phrasing that communicates the elements above (e.g., "China stole the Georgia Senate election," "Russia rigged the vote in Geogia") will qualify. Reposts, retweets, or shares of third-party content will qualify only if accompanied by original commentary from Trump that itself meets the criteria above, or if the repost includes an unambiguous endorsement of a qualifying claim (e.g., "TRUE!"). A bare repost without comment will not qualify. Statements made by representatives will not alone qualify. Reports of private conversations, leaked audio not intended for public release, and secondhand accounts will not qualify. Any public statement from the listed individual, written or verbal, will qualify. Speeches in which the listed individual begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their allegation falls outside the market’s timeframe. The resolution source for this market will be public statements by Donald Trump.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly alleges interference by a foreign actor has occurred in any election in Georgia between market creation and July 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying interference includes, but is not limited to: manipulation of vote tallies or voting machines; hacking of election infrastructure; casting of fraudulent ballots; coordinated disinformation or influence campaigns intended to alter the election's outcome; or illegal foreign funding of campaigns. Allegations limited to procedural irregularities, administrative errors, ordinary lobbying, legal foreign media coverage, or fraud of domestic or unspecified origin will not qualify. The alleged interference must be attributed to a specific foreign government, foreign state-affiliated entity, foreign organization, or foreign nationals acting in that capacity. The actor must be identified at least at the national level (e.g., "China," "Russian operatives," "Iranian hackers"). Allegations against domestic actors, including US-based companies, media organizations, political parties, or election officials, will not qualify. Qualifying statements must explicitly or through context unambiguously refer to the state of Georgia. A qualifying statement must definitively allege that election interference occurred. Statements that are clearly satirical, hypothetical, or rhetorical will not qualify (e.g., "Did China interfere? Who knows," "If China interfered...", "They could easily interfere”). A statement need not use the word "interference." Any phrasing that communicates the elements above (e.g., "China stole the Georgia Senate election," "Russia rigged the vote in Geogia") will qualify. Reposts, retweets, or shares of third-party content will qualify only if accompanied by original commentary from Trump that itself meets the criteria above, or if the repost includes an unambiguous endorsement of a qualifying claim (e.g., "TRUE!"). A bare repost without comment will not qualify. Statements made by representatives will not alone qualify. Reports of private conversations, leaked audio not intended for public release, and secondhand accounts will not qualify. Any public statement from the listed individual, written or verbal, will qualify. Speeches in which the listed individual begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their allegation falls outside the market’s timeframe. The resolution source for this market will be public statements by Donald Trump.**No recent public statements, scheduled announcements, or verified reporting indicate that President Trump plans to allege foreign election interference by the country of Georgia before the July 16 deadline.** The longstanding 2020 Georgia (U.S. state) election-related legal matters concluded in late 2025 with charges dropped, and no new developments tie into foreign interference claims. Speculation on social media about possible remarks in an upcoming address exists but lacks confirmation from official sources or Trump’s own communications. Traders appear to view the absence of concrete catalysts—such as declassification orders, press events, or diplomatic statements—as the dominant factor supporting the 59% implied probability on “No.” Resolution hinges strictly on whether Trump makes the specific allegation by the cutoff, with no structural barriers or high-probability triggers evident in the immediate window.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly alleges interference by a foreign actor has occurred in any election in Georgia between market creation and July 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Qualifying interference includes, but is not limited to: manipulation of vote tallies or voting machines; hacking of election infrastructure; casting of fraudulent ballots; coordinated disinformation or influence campaigns intended to alter the election's outcome; or illegal foreign funding of campaigns. Allegations limited to procedural irregularities, administrative errors, ordinary lobbying, legal foreign media coverage, or fraud of domestic or unspecified origin will not qualify.

The alleged interference must be attributed to a specific foreign government, foreign state-affiliated entity, foreign organization, or foreign nationals acting in that capacity. The actor must be identified at least at the national level (e.g., "China," "Russian operatives," "Iranian hackers"). Allegations against domestic actors, including US-based companies, media organizations, political parties, or election officials, will not qualify.

Qualifying statements must explicitly or through context unambiguously refer to the state of Georgia.

A qualifying statement must definitively allege that election interference occurred. Statements that are clearly satirical, hypothetical, or rhetorical will not qualify (e.g., "Did China interfere? Who knows," "If China interfered...", "They could easily interfere”).

A statement need not use the word "interference." Any phrasing that communicates the elements above (e.g., "China stole the Georgia Senate election," "Russia rigged the vote in Geogia") will qualify.

Reposts, retweets, or shares of third-party content will qualify only if accompanied by original commentary from Trump that itself meets the criteria above, or if the repost includes an unambiguous endorsement of a qualifying claim (e.g., "TRUE!"). A bare repost without comment will not qualify.

Statements made by representatives will not alone qualify. Reports of private conversations, leaked audio not intended for public release, and secondhand accounts will not qualify.

Any public statement from the listed individual, written or verbal, will qualify. Speeches in which the listed individual begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their allegation falls outside the market’s timeframe.

The resolution source for this market will be public statements by Donald Trump.
Volume
$0
Date de fin
16 juil. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jul 14, 2026, 1:51 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly alleges interference by a foreign actor has occurred in any election in Georgia between market creation and July 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying interference includes, but is not limited to: manipulation of vote tallies or voting machines; hacking of election infrastructure; casting of fraudulent ballots; coordinated disinformation or influence campaigns intended to alter the election's outcome; or illegal foreign funding of campaigns. Allegations limited to procedural irregularities, administrative errors, ordinary lobbying, legal foreign media coverage, or fraud of domestic or unspecified origin will not qualify. The alleged interference must be attributed to a specific foreign government, foreign state-affiliated entity, foreign organization, or foreign nationals acting in that capacity. The actor must be identified at least at the national level (e.g., "China," "Russian operatives," "Iranian hackers"). Allegations against domestic actors, including US-based companies, media organizations, political parties, or election officials, will not qualify. Qualifying statements must explicitly or through context unambiguously refer to the state of Georgia. A qualifying statement must definitively allege that election interference occurred. Statements that are clearly satirical, hypothetical, or rhetorical will not qualify (e.g., "Did China interfere? Who knows," "If China interfered...", "They could easily interfere”). A statement need not use the word "interference." Any phrasing that communicates the elements above (e.g., "China stole the Georgia Senate election," "Russia rigged the vote in Geogia") will qualify. Reposts, retweets, or shares of third-party content will qualify only if accompanied by original commentary from Trump that itself meets the criteria above, or if the repost includes an unambiguous endorsement of a qualifying claim (e.g., "TRUE!"). A bare repost without comment will not qualify. Statements made by representatives will not alone qualify. Reports of private conversations, leaked audio not intended for public release, and secondhand accounts will not qualify. Any public statement from the listed individual, written or verbal, will qualify. Speeches in which the listed individual begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their allegation falls outside the market’s timeframe. The resolution source for this market will be public statements by Donald Trump.

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« Trump allègue l'ingérence de la Géorgie dans les élections étrangères d'ici le 16 juillet ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 2 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Trump allègue une ingérence étrangère dans les élections en Géorgie d'ici le 16 juillet ? » à 39%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 39¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 39% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Trump allègue l'ingérence de la Géorgie dans les élections étrangères d'ici le 16 juillet ? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Jul 14, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Trump allègue l'ingérence de la Géorgie dans les élections étrangères d'ici le 16 juillet ? », parcourez les 2 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Trump allègue l'ingérence de la Géorgie dans les élections étrangères d'ici le 16 juillet ? » est « Trump allègue une ingérence étrangère dans les élections en Géorgie d'ici le 16 juillet ? » à 39%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 39% à ce résultat. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

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