Record U.S. dry gas production above 111 Bcf/d and elevated storage inventories—projected to reach a 10-year high of 3,985 Bcf by end-October 2026—continue to weigh on Henry Hub prices, which traded near $2.65/MMBtu on August 17. Reduced LNG feedgas demand amid maintenance at facilities like Freeport has further eased near-term tightness, keeping futures contracts for August and September 2026 below $2.80/MMBtu despite hotter-than-normal weather forecasts supporting power-sector demand. EIA’s 3Q26 spot price outlook of $2.87/MMBtu reflects these fundamentals, with limited upward catalysts until winter draws down the surplus.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$40,116 Vol.
↑ $4.20
2%
↑ $4.00
4%
↑ $3.80
4%
↑ $3.60
13%
↑ $3.40
4%
↑ $3.20
9%
↑ $3.00
19%
↓ $2.60
77%
↓ $2.40
20%
↓ $2.20
3%
↓ $2.00
4%
↓ $1.80
3%
↓ $1.60
2%
$40,116 Vol.
↑ $4.20
2%
↑ $4.00
4%
↑ $3.80
4%
↑ $3.60
13%
↑ $3.40
4%
↑ $3.20
9%
↑ $3.00
19%
↓ $2.60
77%
↓ $2.40
20%
↓ $2.20
3%
↓ $2.00
4%
↓ $1.80
3%
↓ $1.60
2%
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to that contract's last trading session, at which point the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month).
Per CME contract specifications for Natural Gas (NG) futures, the last trading day is defined as the third last business day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month.
For example, if the last business day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month is a Thursday, the last trading session is the session for the prior Tuesday, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for the Friday of the previous week (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the Active Month Natural Gas (NG) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month Natural Gas futures "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=NGD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
Marché ouvert : Jul 25, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://pythdata.app/explore?search=NGDResolver
0x65070BE91...Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to that contract's last trading session, at which point the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month).
Per CME contract specifications for Natural Gas (NG) futures, the last trading day is defined as the third last business day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month.
For example, if the last business day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month is a Thursday, the last trading session is the session for the prior Tuesday, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for the Friday of the previous week (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the Active Month Natural Gas (NG) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month Natural Gas futures "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=NGD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
Source de résolution
https://pythdata.app/explore?search=NGDResolver
0x65070BE91...Record U.S. dry gas production above 111 Bcf/d and elevated storage inventories—projected to reach a 10-year high of 3,985 Bcf by end-October 2026—continue to weigh on Henry Hub prices, which traded near $2.65/MMBtu on August 17. Reduced LNG feedgas demand amid maintenance at facilities like Freeport has further eased near-term tightness, keeping futures contracts for August and September 2026 below $2.80/MMBtu despite hotter-than-normal weather forecasts supporting power-sector demand. EIA’s 3Q26 spot price outlook of $2.87/MMBtu reflects these fundamentals, with limited upward catalysts until winter draws down the surplus.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour


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