SpaceX (SPCX) shares, trading near $140 following its June 2026 IPO at $135, reflect intense post-listing volatility that has kept week-ahead closing probabilities tightly clustered across price bins. Recent Q2 results showed revenue outperformance but highlighted $28.5 billion in first-half capital spending and negative free cash flow, pressuring the stock after an initial pop above $2 trillion market cap. Ongoing insider share unlocks have increased float, while wide analyst dispersion—from Morningstar’s $62 fair value to higher targets exceeding $300—underscores uncertainty around revenue multiples near 100x trailing sales amid heavy capex and competitive execution risks. Trader consensus prices in these crosscurrents without strong directional conviction ahead of the Aug 17 week close.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourSpaceX (SPCX) ferme la semaine du 17 août à ___ ?
135 $ - 140 $ 21%
130 $-135 $ 20%
140 $-145 $ 20%
145 $-150 $ 16%
<120 $
11%
120 $-125 $
8%
125 $ - 130 $
10%
130 $-135 $
20%
135 $ - 140 $
21%
140 $-145 $
20%
145 $-150 $
16%
150 $ - 155 $
9%
155 $-160 $
7%
160 $-165 $
11%
>165 $
9%
135 $ - 140 $ 21%
130 $-135 $ 20%
140 $-145 $ 20%
145 $-150 $ 16%
<120 $
11%
120 $-125 $
8%
125 $ - 130 $
10%
130 $-135 $
20%
135 $ - 140 $
21%
140 $-145 $
20%
145 $-150 $
16%
150 $ - 155 $
9%
155 $-160 $
7%
160 $-165 $
11%
>165 $
9%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.
Marché ouvert : Aug 16, 2026, 7:12 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.
Source de résolution
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX (SPCX) shares, trading near $140 following its June 2026 IPO at $135, reflect intense post-listing volatility that has kept week-ahead closing probabilities tightly clustered across price bins. Recent Q2 results showed revenue outperformance but highlighted $28.5 billion in first-half capital spending and negative free cash flow, pressuring the stock after an initial pop above $2 trillion market cap. Ongoing insider share unlocks have increased float, while wide analyst dispersion—from Morningstar’s $62 fair value to higher targets exceeding $300—underscores uncertainty around revenue multiples near 100x trailing sales amid heavy capex and competitive execution risks. Trader consensus prices in these crosscurrents without strong directional conviction ahead of the Aug 17 week close.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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