The ongoing Bundibugyo Ebola outbreak, declared a public health emergency in May 2026, drives market focus on DRC and Uganda as frontrunners with confirmed cases exceeding 4,900 and 20 respectively. Rapid case growth in conflict-affected eastern DRC provinces like Ituri stems from population movement, insecurity, and cross-border trade, while Uganda's limited imported cases ended in July. An isolated imported case in France highlights spillover risks. Traders watch neighboring regions such as South Sudan for potential new detections amid ongoing transmission, with no approved vaccine for this strain adding uncertainty to resolution by year-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourWhich countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?
$32,986 Vol.
South Sudan
68%
Rwanda
28%
Burundi
28%
United States
23%
Canada
28%
Kenya
53%
India
14%
Republic of the Congo
26%
Nigeria
21%
Ethiopia
49%
Somalia
34%
China
20%
$32,986 Vol.
South Sudan
68%
Rwanda
28%
Burundi
28%
United States
23%
Canada
28%
Kenya
53%
India
14%
Republic of the Congo
26%
Nigeria
21%
Ethiopia
49%
Somalia
34%
China
20%
Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Marché ouvert : May 22, 2026, 12:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The ongoing Bundibugyo Ebola outbreak, declared a public health emergency in May 2026, drives market focus on DRC and Uganda as frontrunners with confirmed cases exceeding 4,900 and 20 respectively. Rapid case growth in conflict-affected eastern DRC provinces like Ituri stems from population movement, insecurity, and cross-border trade, while Uganda's limited imported cases ended in July. An isolated imported case in France highlights spillover risks. Traders watch neighboring regions such as South Sudan for potential new detections amid ongoing transmission, with no approved vaccine for this strain adding uncertainty to resolution by year-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour


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