Trader consensus assigns a 95.5% implied probability to SpaceX listing on Nasdaq, reflecting authoritative reports of the company's pursuit of early Nasdaq-100 index inclusion via exchange rule changes effective May 1, 2026—designed to fast-track mega-IPOs like SpaceX's anticipated June debut. Following confidential SEC filings in April and amid Starship launch successes boosting valuation to $1.75–2 trillion, Nasdaq's tech-heavy alignment mirrors Tesla's precedent, outpacing NYSE bids. Recent timeline updates signal prospectus disclosure next week and roadshow starting June 8. Realistic challenges include superior NYSE terms or Texas exchange overtures, though no counter-evidence has emerged; monitor S-1 filing for confirmation.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourNASDAQ 96%
Autre 4.1%
NYSE <1%
$100,562 Vol.
$100,562 Vol.
NASDAQ
96%
Autre
4%
NYSE
1%
NASDAQ 96%
Autre 4.1%
NYSE <1%
$100,562 Vol.
$100,562 Vol.
NASDAQ
$23,522 Vol.
96%
Autre
$58,130 Vol.
4%
NYSE
$18,910 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the exchange on which SpaceX’s shares first begin public trading as part of its initial public offering (IPO).
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus assigns a 95.5% implied probability to SpaceX listing on Nasdaq, reflecting authoritative reports of the company's pursuit of early Nasdaq-100 index inclusion via exchange rule changes effective May 1, 2026—designed to fast-track mega-IPOs like SpaceX's anticipated June debut. Following confidential SEC filings in April and amid Starship launch successes boosting valuation to $1.75–2 trillion, Nasdaq's tech-heavy alignment mirrors Tesla's precedent, outpacing NYSE bids. Recent timeline updates signal prospectus disclosure next week and roadshow starting June 8. Realistic challenges include superior NYSE terms or Texas exchange overtures, though no counter-evidence has emerged; monitor S-1 filing for confirmation.
This market will resolve to the exchange on which SpaceX’s shares first begin public trading as part of its initial public offering (IPO).
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Mar 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Volume
$100,562Marché ouvert
Mar 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the exchange on which SpaceX’s shares first begin public trading as part of its initial public offering (IPO).
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus assigns a 95.5% implied probability to SpaceX listing on Nasdaq, reflecting authoritative reports of the company's pursuit of early Nasdaq-100 index inclusion via exchange rule changes effective May 1, 2026—designed to fast-track mega-IPOs like SpaceX's anticipated June debut. Following confidential SEC filings in April and amid Starship launch successes boosting valuation to $1.75–2 trillion, Nasdaq's tech-heavy alignment mirrors Tesla's precedent, outpacing NYSE bids. Recent timeline updates signal prospectus disclosure next week and roadshow starting June 8. Realistic challenges include superior NYSE terms or Texas exchange overtures, though no counter-evidence has emerged; monitor S-1 filing for confirmation.
This market will resolve to the exchange on which SpaceX’s shares first begin public trading as part of its initial public offering (IPO).
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$100,562Marché ouvert
Mar 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus assigns a 95.5% implied probability to SpaceX listing on Nasdaq, reflecting authoritative reports of the company's pursuit of early Nasdaq-100 index inclusion via exchange rule changes effective May 1, 2026—designed to fast-track mega-IPOs like SpaceX's anticipated June debut. Following confidential SEC filings in April and amid Starship launch successes boosting valuation to $1.75–2 trillion, Nasdaq's tech-heavy alignment mirrors Tesla's precedent, outpacing NYSE bids. Recent timeline updates signal prospectus disclosure next week and roadshow starting June 8. Realistic challenges include superior NYSE terms or Texas exchange overtures, though no counter-evidence has emerged; monitor S-1 filing for confirmation.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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