US-Iran negotiations remain stalled following the June 17, 2026, memorandum of understanding that set a 60-day window for resolving issues including Strait of Hormuz navigation, sanctions relief, and Iran's nuclear program. As of mid-August, conflicting statements persist, with US officials asserting ongoing diplomacy while Iranian sources deny direct engagement and emphasize mediation through Pakistan or Oman. Recent developments include renewed Hormuz disputes, US naval actions, and Iranian assertions of control over shipping routes, alongside reports of indirect technical exchanges and possible venues in Doha or Geneva. High-level precedents, such as the April Islamabad meeting involving US Vice President JD Vance and Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, underscore that any new round by August 31 would likely require verified senior participation amid mediation pushes and the approaching timeline for extending or formalizing the ceasefire.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$90,878 Vol.
31 août 2026
Nick Stewart
37%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
25%
Abbas Araghchi
11%
Steve Witkoff
10%
Jared Kushner
10%
Ishaq Dar
10%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
8%
Rafael Grossi
7%
Kazem Gharibabadi
7%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
6%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
4%
Pete Hegseth
4%
Masoud Pezeshkian
4%
Marco Rubio
3%
J.D. Vance
3%
Donald Trump
3%
Ahmad Vahidi
2%
Esmail Qaani
1%
Mojtaba Khamenei
1%
$90,878 Vol.
Nick Stewart
$36 Vol.
37%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
$253 Vol.
25%
Abbas Araghchi
$8,597 Vol.
11%
Steve Witkoff
$12,624 Vol.
10%
Jared Kushner
$13,340 Vol.
10%
Ishaq Dar
$2,622 Vol.
10%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
$11,420 Vol.
8%
Rafael Grossi
$881 Vol.
7%
Kazem Gharibabadi
$1,647 Vol.
7%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
$1,730 Vol.
6%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
$3,194 Vol.
4%
Pete Hegseth
$2,568 Vol.
4%
Masoud Pezeshkian
$1,719 Vol.
4%
Marco Rubio
$7,551 Vol.
3%
J.D. Vance
$10,868 Vol.
3%
Donald Trump
$6,494 Vol.
3%
Ahmad Vahidi
$4,561 Vol.
2%
Esmail Qaani
$456 Vol.
1%
Mojtaba Khamenei
$317 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran negotiations remain stalled following the June 17, 2026, memorandum of understanding that set a 60-day window for resolving issues including Strait of Hormuz navigation, sanctions relief, and Iran's nuclear program. As of mid-August, conflicting statements persist, with US officials asserting ongoing diplomacy while Iranian sources deny direct engagement and emphasize mediation through Pakistan or Oman. Recent developments include renewed Hormuz disputes, US naval actions, and Iranian assertions of control over shipping routes, alongside reports of indirect technical exchanges and possible venues in Doha or Geneva. High-level precedents, such as the April Islamabad meeting involving US Vice President JD Vance and Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, underscore that any new round by August 31 would likely require verified senior participation amid mediation pushes and the approaching timeline for extending or formalizing the ceasefire.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ET
Volume
$90,878Date de fin
31 août 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran negotiations remain stalled following the June 17, 2026, memorandum of understanding that set a 60-day window for resolving issues including Strait of Hormuz navigation, sanctions relief, and Iran's nuclear program. As of mid-August, conflicting statements persist, with US officials asserting ongoing diplomacy while Iranian sources deny direct engagement and emphasize mediation through Pakistan or Oman. Recent developments include renewed Hormuz disputes, US naval actions, and Iranian assertions of control over shipping routes, alongside reports of indirect technical exchanges and possible venues in Doha or Geneva. High-level precedents, such as the April Islamabad meeting involving US Vice President JD Vance and Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, underscore that any new round by August 31 would likely require verified senior participation amid mediation pushes and the approaching timeline for extending or formalizing the ceasefire.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$90,878Date de fin
31 août 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-Iran negotiations remain stalled following the June 17, 2026, memorandum of understanding that set a 60-day window for resolving issues including Strait of Hormuz navigation, sanctions relief, and Iran's nuclear program. As of mid-August, conflicting statements persist, with US officials asserting ongoing diplomacy while Iranian sources deny direct engagement and emphasize mediation through Pakistan or Oman. Recent developments include renewed Hormuz disputes, US naval actions, and Iranian assertions of control over shipping routes, alongside reports of indirect technical exchanges and possible venues in Doha or Geneva. High-level precedents, such as the April Islamabad meeting involving US Vice President JD Vance and Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, underscore that any new round by August 31 would likely require verified senior participation amid mediation pushes and the approaching timeline for extending or formalizing the ceasefire.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
Jared Kushner participera-t-il à une réunion diplomatique entre les États-Unis et l'Iran d'ici le 31 décembre 2026 ?
66%
Oui
Aucune rencontre diplomatique qualifiée entre les États-Unis et l'Iran n'aura-t-elle lieu d'ici le 30 septembre 2026 ?
69%
Oui
L'Iran annoncera-t-il son retrait des négociations du protocole d'accord d'ici le 15 août ?
1%
Oui
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