Justice Samuel Alito, age 76, directly addressed retirement speculation in an August 2026 Wall Street Journal interview, stating he is serving “for another term” and describing calls to step down as an unpleasant reminder of mortality. This followed a late-June erroneous NPR report claiming an imminent announcement, which the network retracted. Earlier 2026 reporting noted White House efforts to encourage older conservative justices including Alito and Clarence Thomas to create vacancies while Republicans held a Senate majority. Prediction markets currently assign very low probability to an announcement before September 2026 and place roughly one-quarter odds on departure before July 2027. The next Supreme Court term begins in October 2026 and runs through June or July 2027, with any future retirement timing potentially influenced by Senate composition after the midterms and Alito’s own health and preference for lifetime tenure.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourSamuel Alito annoncera-t-il sa retraite d'ici… ?
Samuel Alito annoncera-t-il sa retraite d'ici… ?
$3,451,512 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
30 septembre
2%
31 décembre
6%
30 juin 2027
34%
$3,451,512 Vol.
30 septembre
$988,681 Vol.
2%
31 décembre
$813,911 Vol.
6%
30 juin 2027
$47,256 Vol.
34%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.Justice Samuel Alito, age 76, directly addressed retirement speculation in an August 2026 Wall Street Journal interview, stating he is serving “for another term” and describing calls to step down as an unpleasant reminder of mortality. This followed a late-June erroneous NPR report claiming an imminent announcement, which the network retracted. Earlier 2026 reporting noted White House efforts to encourage older conservative justices including Alito and Clarence Thomas to create vacancies while Republicans held a Senate majority. Prediction markets currently assign very low probability to an announcement before September 2026 and place roughly one-quarter odds on departure before July 2027. The next Supreme Court term begins in October 2026 and runs through June or July 2027, with any future retirement timing potentially influenced by Senate composition after the midterms and Alito’s own health and preference for lifetime tenure.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
Marché ouvert : Jun 30, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volume
$3,451,512Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 30, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.Justice Samuel Alito, age 76, directly addressed retirement speculation in an August 2026 Wall Street Journal interview, stating he is serving “for another term” and describing calls to step down as an unpleasant reminder of mortality. This followed a late-June erroneous NPR report claiming an imminent announcement, which the network retracted. Earlier 2026 reporting noted White House efforts to encourage older conservative justices including Alito and Clarence Thomas to create vacancies while Republicans held a Senate majority. Prediction markets currently assign very low probability to an announcement before September 2026 and place roughly one-quarter odds on departure before July 2027. The next Supreme Court term begins in October 2026 and runs through June or July 2027, with any future retirement timing potentially influenced by Senate composition after the midterms and Alito’s own health and preference for lifetime tenure.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
Volume
$3,451,512Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 30, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Justice Samuel Alito, age 76, directly addressed retirement speculation in an August 2026 Wall Street Journal interview, stating he is serving “for another term” and describing calls to step down as an unpleasant reminder of mortality. This followed a late-June erroneous NPR report claiming an imminent announcement, which the network retracted. Earlier 2026 reporting noted White House efforts to encourage older conservative justices including Alito and Clarence Thomas to create vacancies while Republicans held a Senate majority. Prediction markets currently assign very low probability to an announcement before September 2026 and place roughly one-quarter odds on departure before July 2027. The next Supreme Court term begins in October 2026 and runs through June or July 2027, with any future retirement timing potentially influenced by Senate composition after the midterms and Alito’s own health and preference for lifetime tenure.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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