The closely contested 51.5% implied probability for a “Yes” outcome reflects uncertainty over whether the Supreme Court will grant emergency relief allowing above-ground construction on the White House ballroom project to resume and reach substantial completion by September 30. Recent developments center on the Trump administration’s August 14 emergency application to the justices, which seeks to lift a D.C. Circuit panel’s recent order upholding a district court block on the work while litigation continues; the Court has set a tight response deadline, and Solicitor General filings emphasize national security needs and rapid progress already made on underground elements. Countervailing factors include the appeals court’s emphasis on congressional approval requirements for major alterations to the White House complex and ongoing challenges from preservation groups, creating procedural and substantive hurdles that could lead to denial or a narrowed stay. Any ruling before the market’s cutoff, further lower-court developments, or shifts in the project’s documented status could quickly alter trader assessments of the emergency docket’s likely path.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourSCOTUS laissera-t-il Trump construire la salle de bal de la Maison Blanche d'ici le 30 septembre ?
SCOTUS laissera-t-il Trump construire la salle de bal de la Maison Blanche d'ici le 30 septembre ?
Oui
52% chance
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 sept. 2026
Oui
52% chance
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 sept. 2026
The Supreme Court of the United States is expected to be asked to review lower-court rulings blocking construction of a new White House ballroom on the former site of the East Wing offices. As of market creation, a preliminary injunction affirmed by the D.C. Circuit blocks above-ground construction while permitting below-ground work.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Supreme Court of the United States issues any ruling or order that has the effect of permitting construction to resume on any above-ground portion of the ballroom project. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A qualifying ruling or order includes a merits decision, a stay of a lower-court injunction, or any other form of interim or permanent relief, so long as its effect is that above-ground construction is legally permitted to proceed. A ruling or order affecting only below-ground work will not qualify.
Once a qualifying ruling or order has been issued, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether the ruling or order is later vacated, reversed, or superseded, and regardless of whether construction actually resumes.
This market will resolve to "No" if no qualifying ruling or order is issued by the deadline, including if the Supreme Court declines to hear the case, dismisses it, or resolves it on grounds that leave the block on above-ground construction in place. Above-ground construction becoming permitted through any mechanism other than a Supreme Court ruling or order — including congressional authorization, settlement, or dismissal of the underlying lawsuit — will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States (including orders published at supremecourt.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely contested 51.5% implied probability for a “Yes” outcome reflects uncertainty over whether the Supreme Court will grant emergency relief allowing above-ground construction on the White House ballroom project to resume and reach substantial completion by September 30. Recent developments center on the Trump administration’s August 14 emergency application to the justices, which seeks to lift a D.C. Circuit panel’s recent order upholding a district court block on the work while litigation continues; the Court has set a tight response deadline, and Solicitor General filings emphasize national security needs and rapid progress already made on underground elements. Countervailing factors include the appeals court’s emphasis on congressional approval requirements for major alterations to the White House complex and ongoing challenges from preservation groups, creating procedural and substantive hurdles that could lead to denial or a narrowed stay. Any ruling before the market’s cutoff, further lower-court developments, or shifts in the project’s documented status could quickly alter trader assessments of the emergency docket’s likely path.
The Supreme Court of the United States is expected to be asked to review lower-court rulings blocking construction of a new White House ballroom on the former site of the East Wing offices. As of market creation, a preliminary injunction affirmed by the D.C. Circuit blocks above-ground construction while permitting below-ground work.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Supreme Court of the United States issues any ruling or order that has the effect of permitting construction to resume on any above-ground portion of the ballroom project. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A qualifying ruling or order includes a merits decision, a stay of a lower-court injunction, or any other form of interim or permanent relief, so long as its effect is that above-ground construction is legally permitted to proceed. A ruling or order affecting only below-ground work will not qualify.
Once a qualifying ruling or order has been issued, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether the ruling or order is later vacated, reversed, or superseded, and regardless of whether construction actually resumes.
This market will resolve to "No" if no qualifying ruling or order is issued by the deadline, including if the Supreme Court declines to hear the case, dismisses it, or resolves it on grounds that leave the block on above-ground construction in place. Above-ground construction becoming permitted through any mechanism other than a Supreme Court ruling or order — including congressional authorization, settlement, or dismissal of the underlying lawsuit — will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States (including orders published at supremecourt.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Supreme Court of the United States issues any ruling or order that has the effect of permitting construction to resume on any above-ground portion of the ballroom project. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A qualifying ruling or order includes a merits decision, a stay of a lower-court injunction, or any other form of interim or permanent relief, so long as its effect is that above-ground construction is legally permitted to proceed. A ruling or order affecting only below-ground work will not qualify.
Once a qualifying ruling or order has been issued, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether the ruling or order is later vacated, reversed, or superseded, and regardless of whether construction actually resumes.
This market will resolve to "No" if no qualifying ruling or order is issued by the deadline, including if the Supreme Court declines to hear the case, dismisses it, or resolves it on grounds that leave the block on above-ground construction in place. Above-ground construction becoming permitted through any mechanism other than a Supreme Court ruling or order — including congressional authorization, settlement, or dismissal of the underlying lawsuit — will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States (including orders published at supremecourt.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Aug 7, 2026, 4:54 PM ET
Volume
$2,229Date de fin
30 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 7, 2026, 4:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Supreme Court of the United States is expected to be asked to review lower-court rulings blocking construction of a new White House ballroom on the former site of the East Wing offices. As of market creation, a preliminary injunction affirmed by the D.C. Circuit blocks above-ground construction while permitting below-ground work.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Supreme Court of the United States issues any ruling or order that has the effect of permitting construction to resume on any above-ground portion of the ballroom project. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A qualifying ruling or order includes a merits decision, a stay of a lower-court injunction, or any other form of interim or permanent relief, so long as its effect is that above-ground construction is legally permitted to proceed. A ruling or order affecting only below-ground work will not qualify.
Once a qualifying ruling or order has been issued, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether the ruling or order is later vacated, reversed, or superseded, and regardless of whether construction actually resumes.
This market will resolve to "No" if no qualifying ruling or order is issued by the deadline, including if the Supreme Court declines to hear the case, dismisses it, or resolves it on grounds that leave the block on above-ground construction in place. Above-ground construction becoming permitted through any mechanism other than a Supreme Court ruling or order — including congressional authorization, settlement, or dismissal of the underlying lawsuit — will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States (including orders published at supremecourt.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely contested 51.5% implied probability for a “Yes” outcome reflects uncertainty over whether the Supreme Court will grant emergency relief allowing above-ground construction on the White House ballroom project to resume and reach substantial completion by September 30. Recent developments center on the Trump administration’s August 14 emergency application to the justices, which seeks to lift a D.C. Circuit panel’s recent order upholding a district court block on the work while litigation continues; the Court has set a tight response deadline, and Solicitor General filings emphasize national security needs and rapid progress already made on underground elements. Countervailing factors include the appeals court’s emphasis on congressional approval requirements for major alterations to the White House complex and ongoing challenges from preservation groups, creating procedural and substantive hurdles that could lead to denial or a narrowed stay. Any ruling before the market’s cutoff, further lower-court developments, or shifts in the project’s documented status could quickly alter trader assessments of the emergency docket’s likely path.
The Supreme Court of the United States is expected to be asked to review lower-court rulings blocking construction of a new White House ballroom on the former site of the East Wing offices. As of market creation, a preliminary injunction affirmed by the D.C. Circuit blocks above-ground construction while permitting below-ground work.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Supreme Court of the United States issues any ruling or order that has the effect of permitting construction to resume on any above-ground portion of the ballroom project. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A qualifying ruling or order includes a merits decision, a stay of a lower-court injunction, or any other form of interim or permanent relief, so long as its effect is that above-ground construction is legally permitted to proceed. A ruling or order affecting only below-ground work will not qualify.
Once a qualifying ruling or order has been issued, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether the ruling or order is later vacated, reversed, or superseded, and regardless of whether construction actually resumes.
This market will resolve to "No" if no qualifying ruling or order is issued by the deadline, including if the Supreme Court declines to hear the case, dismisses it, or resolves it on grounds that leave the block on above-ground construction in place. Above-ground construction becoming permitted through any mechanism other than a Supreme Court ruling or order — including congressional authorization, settlement, or dismissal of the underlying lawsuit — will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States (including orders published at supremecourt.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Supreme Court of the United States issues any ruling or order that has the effect of permitting construction to resume on any above-ground portion of the ballroom project. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A qualifying ruling or order includes a merits decision, a stay of a lower-court injunction, or any other form of interim or permanent relief, so long as its effect is that above-ground construction is legally permitted to proceed. A ruling or order affecting only below-ground work will not qualify.
Once a qualifying ruling or order has been issued, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether the ruling or order is later vacated, reversed, or superseded, and regardless of whether construction actually resumes.
This market will resolve to "No" if no qualifying ruling or order is issued by the deadline, including if the Supreme Court declines to hear the case, dismisses it, or resolves it on grounds that leave the block on above-ground construction in place. Above-ground construction becoming permitted through any mechanism other than a Supreme Court ruling or order — including congressional authorization, settlement, or dismissal of the underlying lawsuit — will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States (including orders published at supremecourt.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,229Date de fin
30 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 7, 2026, 4:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The closely contested 51.5% implied probability for a “Yes” outcome reflects uncertainty over whether the Supreme Court will grant emergency relief allowing above-ground construction on the White House ballroom project to resume and reach substantial completion by September 30. Recent developments center on the Trump administration’s August 14 emergency application to the justices, which seeks to lift a D.C. Circuit panel’s recent order upholding a district court block on the work while litigation continues; the Court has set a tight response deadline, and Solicitor General filings emphasize national security needs and rapid progress already made on underground elements. Countervailing factors include the appeals court’s emphasis on congressional approval requirements for major alterations to the White House complex and ongoing challenges from preservation groups, creating procedural and substantive hurdles that could lead to denial or a narrowed stay. Any ruling before the market’s cutoff, further lower-court developments, or shifts in the project’s documented status could quickly alter trader assessments of the emergency docket’s likely path.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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