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Coupe du monde : la nation atteindra la finale

icon for Coupe du monde : la nation atteindra la finale

Coupe du monde : la nation atteindra la finale

$4,351,617 Vol.

20 juil. 2026
Polymarket

$4,351,617 Vol.

Polymarket

France

$183,537 Vol.

35%

Argentina

$129,084 Vol.

34%

Spain

$101,684 Vol.

25%

England

$86,881 Vol.

22%

Portugal

$121,783 Vol.

16%

Brazil

$57,106 Vol.

15%

Netherlands

$62,721 Vol.

14%

Germany

$66,739 Vol.

10%

Norway

$100,789 Vol.

8%

Mexico

$461,649 Vol.

6%

Morocco

$94,647 Vol.

6%

USA

$215,124 Vol.

6%

Colombia

$75,638 Vol.

5%

Japan

$103,284 Vol.

4%

Belgium

$33,001 Vol.

4%

Croatia

$24,989 Vol.

3%

Switzerland

$31,252 Vol.

3%

Ecuador

$21,013 Vol.

3%

Egypt

$5,011 Vol.

2%

Austria

$9,909 Vol.

2%

Sweden

$17,387 Vol.

2%

Senegal

$16,595 Vol.

2%

Ivory Coast

$13,463 Vol.

2%

Canada

$9,678 Vol.

2%

Ghana

$5,834 Vol.

1%

Paraguay

$3,660 Vol.

1%

Bosnia and Herzegovina

$3,546 Vol.

1%

Australia

$1,852 Vol.

1%

Cape Verde

$13,269 Vol.

1%

South Korea

$8,964 Vol.

1%

DR Congo

$2,575 Vol.

1%

Iran

$342,018 Vol.

1%

South Africa

$5,335 Vol.

1%

Algeria

$2,826 Vol.

1%

Uzbekistan

$564,290 Vol.

<1%

Scotland

$348,967 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup final. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France sits atop 2026 World Cup winner odds near +400 following convincing group-stage victories anchored by Kylian Mbappé’s multiple-goal contributions, while Spain holds second at roughly +500 despite a surprising draw against Cape Verde. England, Portugal, Argentina, and Brazil round out the leading contenders at +700 to +1000, reflecting trader consensus on squad depth, recent form, and star availability such as Lionel Messi’s hat trick and Jude Bellingham’s influence. Early results have tightened probabilities for European sides with favorable group matchups, while CONMEBOL teams benefit from proven knockout pedigree. Upcoming group fixtures, rest advantages, and potential bracket positioning will shape paths to the final as the expanded 48-team field advances.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup final.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$4,351,617
Date de fin
20 juil. 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 27, 2026, 10:34 AM ET
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup final. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup final. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France sits atop 2026 World Cup winner odds near +400 following convincing group-stage victories anchored by Kylian Mbappé’s multiple-goal contributions, while Spain holds second at roughly +500 despite a surprising draw against Cape Verde. England, Portugal, Argentina, and Brazil round out the leading contenders at +700 to +1000, reflecting trader consensus on squad depth, recent form, and star availability such as Lionel Messi’s hat trick and Jude Bellingham’s influence. Early results have tightened probabilities for European sides with favorable group matchups, while CONMEBOL teams benefit from proven knockout pedigree. Upcoming group fixtures, rest advantages, and potential bracket positioning will shape paths to the final as the expanded 48-team field advances.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup final.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$4,351,617
Date de fin
20 juil. 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 27, 2026, 10:34 AM ET
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup final. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Questions fréquentes

« Coupe du monde : la nation atteindra la finale » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 48+ résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « France » à 35%, suivi de « Argentina » à 34%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 35¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 35% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Coupe du monde : la nation atteindra la finale » a généré $4.4 million en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Apr 27, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Coupe du monde : la nation atteindra la finale », parcourez les 48+ résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Coupe du monde : la nation atteindra la finale » est « France » à 35%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 35% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Argentina » à 34%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Coupe du monde : la nation atteindra la finale » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.