Alabama's 4th congressional district maintains one of the strongest Republican leans in the country, rated R+33 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index and delivering over 80 percent support for Republican presidential candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Robert Aderholt secured the Republican nomination in the May 2026 primary with more than 77 percent of the vote, facing Democratic nominee Amanda Pusczek in the November general election. The district's rural north-central Alabama composition, consistent voter turnout patterns, and Aderholt's long tenure and fundraising edge reinforce trader consensus around a Republican outcome. A realistic shift would require an unprecedented national political realignment, major incumbent scandal, or health event altering the race dynamics before Election Day.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाAL -04 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
AL -04 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$37,350 वॉल्यूम
$37,350 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
98%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
1%
$37,350 वॉल्यूम
$37,350 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$19,236 वॉल्यूम
98%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$18,114 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alabama's 4th congressional district maintains one of the strongest Republican leans in the country, rated R+33 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index and delivering over 80 percent support for Republican presidential candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Robert Aderholt secured the Republican nomination in the May 2026 primary with more than 77 percent of the vote, facing Democratic nominee Amanda Pusczek in the November general election. The district's rural north-central Alabama composition, consistent voter turnout patterns, and Aderholt's long tenure and fundraising edge reinforce trader consensus around a Republican outcome. A realistic shift would require an unprecedented national political realignment, major incumbent scandal, or health event altering the race dynamics before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$37,350समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alabama's 4th congressional district maintains one of the strongest Republican leans in the country, rated R+33 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index and delivering over 80 percent support for Republican presidential candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Robert Aderholt secured the Republican nomination in the May 2026 primary with more than 77 percent of the vote, facing Democratic nominee Amanda Pusczek in the November general election. The district's rural north-central Alabama composition, consistent voter turnout patterns, and Aderholt's long tenure and fundraising edge reinforce trader consensus around a Republican outcome. A realistic shift would require an unprecedented national political realignment, major incumbent scandal, or health event altering the race dynamics before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$37,350समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Alabama's 4th congressional district maintains one of the strongest Republican leans in the country, rated R+33 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index and delivering over 80 percent support for Republican presidential candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Robert Aderholt secured the Republican nomination in the May 2026 primary with more than 77 percent of the vote, facing Democratic nominee Amanda Pusczek in the November general election. The district's rural north-central Alabama composition, consistent voter turnout patterns, and Aderholt's long tenure and fundraising edge reinforce trader consensus around a Republican outcome. A realistic shift would require an unprecedented national political realignment, major incumbent scandal, or health event altering the race dynamics before Election Day.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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