Alabama's 4th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+33 partisan voting index, anchors trader consensus at 92.5% for a Republican House election winner, reflecting longtime incumbent Rep. Robert Aderholt's unchallenged dominance since 1997 and history of 80-99% general election margins. Aderholt qualified for reelection in January 2026, facing Cullman County Commissioner Tommy Barnes in the May 19 Republican primary, where no polls signal an upset amid his Appropriations subcommittee chair role. Democrats hold Amanda Pusczek and Shane Weaver in their primary, but weak past turnout leaves slim paths forward. Shifts would require a messy GOP runoff, nominee scandal, health issues, or unprecedented national midterm wave favoring Democrats before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाAL -04 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
AL -04 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$27,341 वॉल्यूम
$27,341 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
93%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
7%
$27,341 वॉल्यूम
$27,341 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$13,104 वॉल्यूम
93%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$14,237 वॉल्यूम
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alabama's 4th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+33 partisan voting index, anchors trader consensus at 92.5% for a Republican House election winner, reflecting longtime incumbent Rep. Robert Aderholt's unchallenged dominance since 1997 and history of 80-99% general election margins. Aderholt qualified for reelection in January 2026, facing Cullman County Commissioner Tommy Barnes in the May 19 Republican primary, where no polls signal an upset amid his Appropriations subcommittee chair role. Democrats hold Amanda Pusczek and Shane Weaver in their primary, but weak past turnout leaves slim paths forward. Shifts would require a messy GOP runoff, nominee scandal, health issues, or unprecedented national midterm wave favoring Democrats before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$27,341समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alabama's 4th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+33 partisan voting index, anchors trader consensus at 92.5% for a Republican House election winner, reflecting longtime incumbent Rep. Robert Aderholt's unchallenged dominance since 1997 and history of 80-99% general election margins. Aderholt qualified for reelection in January 2026, facing Cullman County Commissioner Tommy Barnes in the May 19 Republican primary, where no polls signal an upset amid his Appropriations subcommittee chair role. Democrats hold Amanda Pusczek and Shane Weaver in their primary, but weak past turnout leaves slim paths forward. Shifts would require a messy GOP runoff, nominee scandal, health issues, or unprecedented national midterm wave favoring Democrats before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$27,341समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Alabama's 4th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+33 partisan voting index, anchors trader consensus at 92.5% for a Republican House election winner, reflecting longtime incumbent Rep. Robert Aderholt's unchallenged dominance since 1997 and history of 80-99% general election margins. Aderholt qualified for reelection in January 2026, facing Cullman County Commissioner Tommy Barnes in the May 19 Republican primary, where no polls signal an upset amid his Appropriations subcommittee chair role. Democrats hold Amanda Pusczek and Shane Weaver in their primary, but weak past turnout leaves slim paths forward. Shifts would require a messy GOP runoff, nominee scandal, health issues, or unprecedented national midterm wave favoring Democrats before the November 3 general election.
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