Recent floor crossings by five opposition MPs to Prime Minister Mark Carney's Liberals since November 2025 have intensified focus on further defections, with the latest on April 8, 2026, leaving the government one seat from majority. Conservative caucus strains under Pierre Poilievre, combined with alignment on economic priorities, have driven the wave, including shifts from both Tories and the NDP. Upcoming by-elections and caucus dynamics could accelerate or stall additional moves, as traders assess statements from remaining MPs and historical precedents of clustered crossings during periods of opposition disarray.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयानया
30 जून, 2026
May 31
11%
$1,868 वॉल्यूम
May 31
$255 वॉल्यूम
11%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any sitting Member of Parliament (MP) in the Canadian House of Commons changes parties by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Changes parties” refers to an MP ceasing to be a member of one political party’s parliamentary caucus and joining another political party’s parliamentary caucus. A transition from independent status into a party’s caucus, or from a party’s caucus to independent status will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent floor crossings by five opposition MPs to Prime Minister Mark Carney's Liberals since November 2025 have intensified focus on further defections, with the latest on April 8, 2026, leaving the government one seat from majority. Conservative caucus strains under Pierre Poilievre, combined with alignment on economic priorities, have driven the wave, including shifts from both Tories and the NDP. Upcoming by-elections and caucus dynamics could accelerate or stall additional moves, as traders assess statements from remaining MPs and historical precedents of clustered crossings during periods of opposition disarray.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any sitting Member of Parliament (MP) in the Canadian House of Commons changes parties by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Changes parties” refers to an MP ceasing to be a member of one political party’s parliamentary caucus and joining another political party’s parliamentary caucus. A transition from independent status into a party’s caucus, or from a party’s caucus to independent status will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
“Changes parties” refers to an MP ceasing to be a member of one political party’s parliamentary caucus and joining another political party’s parliamentary caucus. A transition from independent status into a party’s caucus, or from a party’s caucus to independent status will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 16, 2026, 10:46 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,868समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 16, 2026, 10:46 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any sitting Member of Parliament (MP) in the Canadian House of Commons changes parties by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Changes parties” refers to an MP ceasing to be a member of one political party’s parliamentary caucus and joining another political party’s parliamentary caucus. A transition from independent status into a party’s caucus, or from a party’s caucus to independent status will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent floor crossings by five opposition MPs to Prime Minister Mark Carney's Liberals since November 2025 have intensified focus on further defections, with the latest on April 8, 2026, leaving the government one seat from majority. Conservative caucus strains under Pierre Poilievre, combined with alignment on economic priorities, have driven the wave, including shifts from both Tories and the NDP. Upcoming by-elections and caucus dynamics could accelerate or stall additional moves, as traders assess statements from remaining MPs and historical precedents of clustered crossings during periods of opposition disarray.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any sitting Member of Parliament (MP) in the Canadian House of Commons changes parties by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Changes parties” refers to an MP ceasing to be a member of one political party’s parliamentary caucus and joining another political party’s parliamentary caucus. A transition from independent status into a party’s caucus, or from a party’s caucus to independent status will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
“Changes parties” refers to an MP ceasing to be a member of one political party’s parliamentary caucus and joining another political party’s parliamentary caucus. A transition from independent status into a party’s caucus, or from a party’s caucus to independent status will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$1,868समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 16, 2026, 10:46 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent floor crossings by five opposition MPs to Prime Minister Mark Carney's Liberals since November 2025 have intensified focus on further defections, with the latest on April 8, 2026, leaving the government one seat from majority. Conservative caucus strains under Pierre Poilievre, combined with alignment on economic priorities, have driven the wave, including shifts from both Tories and the NDP. Upcoming by-elections and caucus dynamics could accelerate or stall additional moves, as traders assess statements from remaining MPs and historical precedents of clustered crossings during periods of opposition disarray.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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