Traders assign nearly identical probabilities to the 180-199 and 200+ ranges because Donald Trump's Truth Social activity has shown consistent high volume in recent weeks, often exceeding 25 posts daily amid ongoing political developments. His output typically rises with campaign events, policy statements, or breaking news cycles and dips during quieter intervals, creating tight competition between those two leading buckets. Lower ranges such as 140-159 and 120-139 receive support from historical patterns of moderated posting during routine periods. Any major announcements, rallies, or legislative activity in the coming days could shift volume upward, while an uneventful stretch might favor the middle buckets. The balanced pricing reflects uncertainty over the week's overall news intensity and schedule.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया200+ 27%
160-179 19%
100-119 17%
120-139 15%
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
1%
60-79
8%
80-99
4%
100-119
17%
120-139
21%
140-159
23%
160-179
21%
180-199
26%
200+
30%
200+ 27%
160-179 19%
100-119 17%
120-139 15%
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
1%
60-79
8%
80-99
4%
100-119
17%
120-139
21%
140-159
23%
160-179
21%
180-199
26%
200+
30%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
बाज़ार खुला: May 16, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
समाधान स्रोत
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpTraders assign nearly identical probabilities to the 180-199 and 200+ ranges because Donald Trump's Truth Social activity has shown consistent high volume in recent weeks, often exceeding 25 posts daily amid ongoing political developments. His output typically rises with campaign events, policy statements, or breaking news cycles and dips during quieter intervals, creating tight competition between those two leading buckets. Lower ranges such as 140-159 and 120-139 receive support from historical patterns of moderated posting during routine periods. Any major announcements, rallies, or legislative activity in the coming days could shift volume upward, while an uneventful stretch might favor the middle buckets. The balanced pricing reflects uncertainty over the week's overall news intensity and schedule.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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