Incumbent Rep. Greg Stanton (D) anchors trader consensus favoring Democrats at 83.5% odds to retain Arizona's 4th Congressional District, a Cook PVI D+4 seat rated Solid Democratic by forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Stanton won comfortably in 2024 (52.7%) and 2022 (56.1%), running unopposed in prior Democratic primaries, bolstered recently by major labor endorsements from UA, Teamsters, and others in March. A crowded Republican primary featuring Zuhdi Jasser, Elizabeth Reye, and Alex Stovall risks a fragmented field ahead of the July 21 primaries, potentially weakening the GOP nominee against Stanton's incumbency edge, though his progressive challenger Kai Newkirk adds primary uncertainty.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाAZ -04 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
AZ -04 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
$13,457 वॉल्यूम
$13,457 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
84%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
16%
$13,457 वॉल्यूम
$13,457 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$10,900 वॉल्यूम
84%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$2,557 वॉल्यूम
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Greg Stanton (D) anchors trader consensus favoring Democrats at 83.5% odds to retain Arizona's 4th Congressional District, a Cook PVI D+4 seat rated Solid Democratic by forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Stanton won comfortably in 2024 (52.7%) and 2022 (56.1%), running unopposed in prior Democratic primaries, bolstered recently by major labor endorsements from UA, Teamsters, and others in March. A crowded Republican primary featuring Zuhdi Jasser, Elizabeth Reye, and Alex Stovall risks a fragmented field ahead of the July 21 primaries, potentially weakening the GOP nominee against Stanton's incumbency edge, though his progressive challenger Kai Newkirk adds primary uncertainty.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$13,457समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Greg Stanton (D) anchors trader consensus favoring Democrats at 83.5% odds to retain Arizona's 4th Congressional District, a Cook PVI D+4 seat rated Solid Democratic by forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Stanton won comfortably in 2024 (52.7%) and 2022 (56.1%), running unopposed in prior Democratic primaries, bolstered recently by major labor endorsements from UA, Teamsters, and others in March. A crowded Republican primary featuring Zuhdi Jasser, Elizabeth Reye, and Alex Stovall risks a fragmented field ahead of the July 21 primaries, potentially weakening the GOP nominee against Stanton's incumbency edge, though his progressive challenger Kai Newkirk adds primary uncertainty.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$13,457समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Greg Stanton (D) anchors trader consensus favoring Democrats at 83.5% odds to retain Arizona's 4th Congressional District, a Cook PVI D+4 seat rated Solid Democratic by forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Stanton won comfortably in 2024 (52.7%) and 2022 (56.1%), running unopposed in prior Democratic primaries, bolstered recently by major labor endorsements from UA, Teamsters, and others in March. A crowded Republican primary featuring Zuhdi Jasser, Elizabeth Reye, and Alex Stovall risks a fragmented field ahead of the July 21 primaries, potentially weakening the GOP nominee against Stanton's incumbency edge, though his progressive challenger Kai Newkirk adds primary uncertainty.
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