Democratic incumbent Greg Stanton secured his party's nomination in the July 2026 primary and faces Republican nominee Zuhdi Jasser in Arizona's 4th congressional district, which covers suburban areas including Tempe, Mesa, and Chandler. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting its partisan voting index and Stanton's 2024 reelection margin. The recent primary outcomes and absence of competitive Republican challengers have reinforced trader consensus around a Democratic hold. The November 3, 2026 general election remains the resolution trigger. Late national shifts, turnout surges in Republican-leaning precincts, or unforeseen candidate developments could still alter the outcome, though structural factors favor the current frontrunner.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाAZ -04 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
AZ -04 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
$32,234 वॉल्यूम
$32,234 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
93%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
7%
$32,234 वॉल्यूम
$32,234 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$25,395 वॉल्यूम
93%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$6,839 वॉल्यूम
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Greg Stanton secured his party's nomination in the July 2026 primary and faces Republican nominee Zuhdi Jasser in Arizona's 4th congressional district, which covers suburban areas including Tempe, Mesa, and Chandler. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting its partisan voting index and Stanton's 2024 reelection margin. The recent primary outcomes and absence of competitive Republican challengers have reinforced trader consensus around a Democratic hold. The November 3, 2026 general election remains the resolution trigger. Late national shifts, turnout surges in Republican-leaning precincts, or unforeseen candidate developments could still alter the outcome, though structural factors favor the current frontrunner.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$32,234समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Greg Stanton secured his party's nomination in the July 2026 primary and faces Republican nominee Zuhdi Jasser in Arizona's 4th congressional district, which covers suburban areas including Tempe, Mesa, and Chandler. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting its partisan voting index and Stanton's 2024 reelection margin. The recent primary outcomes and absence of competitive Republican challengers have reinforced trader consensus around a Democratic hold. The November 3, 2026 general election remains the resolution trigger. Late national shifts, turnout surges in Republican-leaning precincts, or unforeseen candidate developments could still alter the outcome, though structural factors favor the current frontrunner.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$32,234समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Greg Stanton secured his party's nomination in the July 2026 primary and faces Republican nominee Zuhdi Jasser in Arizona's 4th congressional district, which covers suburban areas including Tempe, Mesa, and Chandler. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting its partisan voting index and Stanton's 2024 reelection margin. The recent primary outcomes and absence of competitive Republican challengers have reinforced trader consensus around a Democratic hold. The November 3, 2026 general election remains the resolution trigger. Late national shifts, turnout surges in Republican-leaning precincts, or unforeseen candidate developments could still alter the outcome, though structural factors favor the current frontrunner.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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