Recent polling from Datafolha, Genial/Quaest, and Ipsos-Ipec through April and May 2026 shows Ciro Gomes (PSDB) leading first-round voting intentions by 9 to 15 points over incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT), with Ciro at 41-47 percent and Elmano near 32 percent. Traders have priced this advantage into Ciro’s elevated odds, reflecting his prior governorship from 1991-1994, broad statewide name recognition, and recent confirmation of his pre-candidacy that consolidated PSDB and allied support. Elmano’s backing remains concentrated among PT voters but shows limited expansion amid focus on state economic conditions. Camilo Santana, Eduardo Girão, Capitão Wagner, and Roberto Cláudio register in single digits or lower across surveys, consistent with narrower coalitions and weaker momentum ahead of the October 4 first round.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाCeará Governor Election Winner
Ceará Governor Election Winner
Ciro Gomes 67%
Elmano de Freitas 28%
कैमिलो सैंटाना 5.1%
Capitão Wagner 2.4%
$55,551 वॉल्यूम
$55,551 वॉल्यूम
4 अक्टू, 2026
Ciro Gomes
67%
Elmano de Freitas
28%
कैमिलो सैंटाना
5%
Capitão Wagner
2%
Eduardo Girão
1%
Roberto Cláudio
<1%
Ciro Gomes 67%
Elmano de Freitas 28%
कैमिलो सैंटाना 5.1%
Capitão Wagner 2.4%
$55,551 वॉल्यूम
$55,551 वॉल्यूम
4 अक्टू, 2026
Ciro Gomes
$36,370 वॉल्यूम
67%
Elmano de Freitas
$6,390 वॉल्यूम
28%
कैमिलो सैंटाना
$3,305 वॉल्यूम
5%
Capitão Wagner
$4,334 वॉल्यूम
2%
Eduardo Girão
$3,172 वॉल्यूम
1%
Roberto Cláudio
$1,980 वॉल्यूम
<1%
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from Datafolha, Genial/Quaest, and Ipsos-Ipec through April and May 2026 shows Ciro Gomes (PSDB) leading first-round voting intentions by 9 to 15 points over incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT), with Ciro at 41-47 percent and Elmano near 32 percent. Traders have priced this advantage into Ciro’s elevated odds, reflecting his prior governorship from 1991-1994, broad statewide name recognition, and recent confirmation of his pre-candidacy that consolidated PSDB and allied support. Elmano’s backing remains concentrated among PT voters but shows limited expansion amid focus on state economic conditions. Camilo Santana, Eduardo Girão, Capitão Wagner, and Roberto Cláudio register in single digits or lower across surveys, consistent with narrower coalitions and weaker momentum ahead of the October 4 first round.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$55,551समाप्ति तिथि
4 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from Datafolha, Genial/Quaest, and Ipsos-Ipec through April and May 2026 shows Ciro Gomes (PSDB) leading first-round voting intentions by 9 to 15 points over incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT), with Ciro at 41-47 percent and Elmano near 32 percent. Traders have priced this advantage into Ciro’s elevated odds, reflecting his prior governorship from 1991-1994, broad statewide name recognition, and recent confirmation of his pre-candidacy that consolidated PSDB and allied support. Elmano’s backing remains concentrated among PT voters but shows limited expansion amid focus on state economic conditions. Camilo Santana, Eduardo Girão, Capitão Wagner, and Roberto Cláudio register in single digits or lower across surveys, consistent with narrower coalitions and weaker momentum ahead of the October 4 first round.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
वॉल्यूम
$55,551समाप्ति तिथि
4 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from Datafolha, Genial/Quaest, and Ipsos-Ipec through April and May 2026 shows Ciro Gomes (PSDB) leading first-round voting intentions by 9 to 15 points over incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT), with Ciro at 41-47 percent and Elmano near 32 percent. Traders have priced this advantage into Ciro’s elevated odds, reflecting his prior governorship from 1991-1994, broad statewide name recognition, and recent confirmation of his pre-candidacy that consolidated PSDB and allied support. Elmano’s backing remains concentrated among PT voters but shows limited expansion amid focus on state economic conditions. Camilo Santana, Eduardo Girão, Capitão Wagner, and Roberto Cláudio register in single digits or lower across surveys, consistent with narrower coalitions and weaker momentum ahead of the October 4 first round.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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