China’s Q2 2026 GDP growth of 4.3% year-over-year, down from 5.0% in Q1 and below consensus, has anchored trader positioning around the 4.3-4.6% and 4.6-4.9% bands for Q3, which together command over 85% implied probability. Persistent weakness in household consumption and private investment, amid the ongoing property downturn, has offset resilient manufacturing output and export momentum in high-tech sectors. First-half growth of 4.7% remains within the official 4.5-5% annual target, yet limited monetary easing room and expectations for incremental fiscal support sustain a tight distribution. September activity data and the October 20 preliminary Q3 release represent the key near-term catalysts that could shift these market-implied odds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाChina GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?
China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?
4.3-4.6% 49%
4.6-4.9% 39%
4.0-4.3% 13.6%
4.9-5.2% 2.4%
$26,934 वॉल्यूम
$26,934 वॉल्यूम
20 अक्टू, 2026
<3.4%
<1%
3.4-3.7%
<1%
3.7-4.0%
<1%
4.0-4.3%
14%
4.3-4.6%
49%
4.6-4.9%
39%
4.9-5.2%
2%
5.2-5.5%
<1%
5.5%+
1%
4.3-4.6% 49%
4.6-4.9% 39%
4.0-4.3% 13.6%
4.9-5.2% 2.4%
$26,934 वॉल्यूम
$26,934 वॉल्यूम
20 अक्टू, 2026
<3.4%
$952 वॉल्यूम
<1%
3.4-3.7%
$666 वॉल्यूम
<1%
3.7-4.0%
$709 वॉल्यूम
<1%
4.0-4.3%
$1,752 वॉल्यूम
14%
4.3-4.6%
$10,019 वॉल्यूम
49%
4.6-4.9%
$8,056 वॉल्यूम
39%
4.9-5.2%
$2,841 वॉल्यूम
2%
5.2-5.5%
$899 वॉल्यूम
<1%
5.5%+
$1,040 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate (%) of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 20, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/202512/t20251226_1962154.htmlChina’s Q2 2026 GDP growth of 4.3% year-over-year, down from 5.0% in Q1 and below consensus, has anchored trader positioning around the 4.3-4.6% and 4.6-4.9% bands for Q3, which together command over 85% implied probability. Persistent weakness in household consumption and private investment, amid the ongoing property downturn, has offset resilient manufacturing output and export momentum in high-tech sectors. First-half growth of 4.7% remains within the official 4.5-5% annual target, yet limited monetary easing room and expectations for incremental fiscal support sustain a tight distribution. September activity data and the October 20 preliminary Q3 release represent the key near-term catalysts that could shift these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate (%) of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 20, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/202512/t20251226_1962154.html
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/202512/t20251226_1962154.html
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 16, 2026, 8:06 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$26,934समाप्ति तिथि
20 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 16, 2026, 8:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate (%) of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 20, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/202512/t20251226_1962154.htmlChina’s Q2 2026 GDP growth of 4.3% year-over-year, down from 5.0% in Q1 and below consensus, has anchored trader positioning around the 4.3-4.6% and 4.6-4.9% bands for Q3, which together command over 85% implied probability. Persistent weakness in household consumption and private investment, amid the ongoing property downturn, has offset resilient manufacturing output and export momentum in high-tech sectors. First-half growth of 4.7% remains within the official 4.5-5% annual target, yet limited monetary easing room and expectations for incremental fiscal support sustain a tight distribution. September activity data and the October 20 preliminary Q3 release represent the key near-term catalysts that could shift these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate (%) of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 20, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/202512/t20251226_1962154.html
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/202512/t20251226_1962154.html
वॉल्यूम
$26,934समाप्ति तिथि
20 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 16, 2026, 8:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...China’s Q2 2026 GDP growth of 4.3% year-over-year, down from 5.0% in Q1 and below consensus, has anchored trader positioning around the 4.3-4.6% and 4.6-4.9% bands for Q3, which together command over 85% implied probability. Persistent weakness in household consumption and private investment, amid the ongoing property downturn, has offset resilient manufacturing output and export momentum in high-tech sectors. First-half growth of 4.7% remains within the official 4.5-5% annual target, yet limited monetary easing room and expectations for incremental fiscal support sustain a tight distribution. September activity data and the October 20 preliminary Q3 release represent the key near-term catalysts that could shift these market-implied odds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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