Ontario Premier Doug Ford’s decisive victory in the 2025 snap provincial election, which delivered the Progressive Conservatives a third consecutive majority, has reinforced his position as party leader. At the January 2026 PC convention, Ford explicitly signaled his intention to seek a fourth term, emphasizing the government’s record on economic issues and its stance toward U.S. tariffs. These developments, combined with the absence of any announced leadership review or internal challenges, underpin the market’s strong consensus that Ford will remain in place through the end of the year. Traders appear to view the current leadership stability as consistent with historical patterns for premiers who secure repeated majorities.