Trader consensus centers on Elon Musk posting 140-179 tweets during August 14-21, 2026, with the top two bins nearly tied at roughly 26% and 24% implied probability. This positioning tracks his established weekly cadence on X, shaped by activity at Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI alongside responses to real-time news and public discourse. Competitive dynamics hinge on whether mid-week developments accelerate output toward the 160-179 range or keep volume closer to recent averages near 140. Key swing factors include any company milestones, regulatory updates, or high-engagement topics that historically boost posting frequency before the period ends on August 21.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया140-159 27%
160-179 25%
120-139 20.1%
180-199 15%
$864,852 वॉल्यूम
$864,852 वॉल्यूम
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
1%
100-119
7%
120-139
20%
140-159
27%
160-179
25%
180-199
15%
200-219
7%
220-239
2%
240-259
1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
140-159 27%
160-179 25%
120-139 20.1%
180-199 15%
$864,852 वॉल्यूम
$864,852 वॉल्यूम
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
1%
100-119
7%
120-139
20%
140-159
27%
160-179
25%
180-199
15%
200-219
7%
220-239
2%
240-259
1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
समाधान स्रोत
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus centers on Elon Musk posting 140-179 tweets during August 14-21, 2026, with the top two bins nearly tied at roughly 26% and 24% implied probability. This positioning tracks his established weekly cadence on X, shaped by activity at Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI alongside responses to real-time news and public discourse. Competitive dynamics hinge on whether mid-week developments accelerate output toward the 160-179 range or keep volume closer to recent averages near 140. Key swing factors include any company milestones, regulatory updates, or high-engagement topics that historically boost posting frequency before the period ends on August 21.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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