Elon Musk’s sustained high-volume activity on X continues to anchor trader expectations for his August 2026 tweet total, with market-implied odds clustering tightly between roughly 780 and 880 posts. Recent submarket data and daily tracking show him averaging in the mid-20s per day during the first half of the month, consistent with his established pattern of frequent replies, commentary, and platform engagement. This pace aligns with broader 2025–2026 trends of roughly 25–35 posts daily outside of major travel or regulatory distractions, projecting a full-month range that favors the leading buckets. Key swing factors include any late-month slowdown from business travel, earnings cycles, or external events, though historical consistency has kept probabilities compressed rather than skewed toward extremes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया800-839 16.3%
840-879 14.3%
780-799 12.8%
760-779 11.5%
$150,543 वॉल्यूम
$150,543 वॉल्यूम
300-319
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580-599
1%
600-619
1%
620-639
2%
640-659
2%
660-679
3%
680-699
5%
700-719
7%
720-739
9%
740-759
11%
760-779
12%
780-799
13%
800-839
16%
840-879
14%
880-919
8%
920-959
5%
960-999
2%
1000+
4%
800-839 16.3%
840-879 14.3%
780-799 12.8%
760-779 11.5%
$150,543 वॉल्यूम
$150,543 वॉल्यूम
300-319
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580-599
1%
600-619
1%
620-639
2%
640-659
2%
660-679
3%
680-699
5%
700-719
7%
720-739
9%
740-759
11%
760-779
12%
780-799
13%
800-839
16%
840-879
14%
880-919
8%
920-959
5%
960-999
2%
1000+
4%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
समाधान स्रोत
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s sustained high-volume activity on X continues to anchor trader expectations for his August 2026 tweet total, with market-implied odds clustering tightly between roughly 780 and 880 posts. Recent submarket data and daily tracking show him averaging in the mid-20s per day during the first half of the month, consistent with his established pattern of frequent replies, commentary, and platform engagement. This pace aligns with broader 2025–2026 trends of roughly 25–35 posts daily outside of major travel or regulatory distractions, projecting a full-month range that favors the leading buckets. Key swing factors include any late-month slowdown from business travel, earnings cycles, or external events, though historical consistency has kept probabilities compressed rather than skewed toward extremes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न