Recent April 2026 CPI data, showing a 0.6 percent monthly rise and 3.8 percent year-over-year acceleration—the highest since May 2023—driven by energy price spikes amid Middle East geopolitical tensions, has reinforced trader expectations for the FOMC to hold the federal funds rate steady at its current 3.50–3.75 percent target range during the July 28–29 meeting. This positions the no-change outcome at 93.5 percent implied probability, reflecting the Fed’s data-dependent stance and resilient labor market conditions that have kept monetary policy on hold since the April decision. Markets price in only modest odds for a 25 basis point adjustment either way, consistent with forward-looking projections that see limited near-term easing. June inflation releases and employment figures remain key upcoming catalysts that could shift the rate path if disinflation resumes or growth weakens materially.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाकोई बदलाव नहीं 94%
25 बीपीएस वृद्धि 4.5%
25 बीपीएस की कमी 2.2%
50+ बीपीएस की कटौती <1%
$5,659,199 वॉल्यूम
$5,659,199 वॉल्यूम
29 जुल, 2026
50+ बीपीएस की कटौती
1%
25 बीपीएस की कमी
2%
कोई बदलाव नहीं
94%
25 बीपीएस वृद्धि
4%
50+ बेसिस प्वाइंट वृद्धि
<1%
कोई बदलाव नहीं 94%
25 बीपीएस वृद्धि 4.5%
25 बीपीएस की कमी 2.2%
50+ बीपीएस की कटौती <1%
$5,659,199 वॉल्यूम
$5,659,199 वॉल्यूम
29 जुल, 2026
50+ बीपीएस की कटौती
$561,849 वॉल्यूम
1%
25 बीपीएस की कमी
$450,925 वॉल्यूम
2%
कोई बदलाव नहीं
$670,152 वॉल्यूम
94%
25 बीपीएस वृद्धि
$3,423,941 वॉल्यूम
4%
50+ बेसिस प्वाइंट वृद्धि
$559,539 वॉल्यूम
<1%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Recent April 2026 CPI data, showing a 0.6 percent monthly rise and 3.8 percent year-over-year acceleration—the highest since May 2023—driven by energy price spikes amid Middle East geopolitical tensions, has reinforced trader expectations for the FOMC to hold the federal funds rate steady at its current 3.50–3.75 percent target range during the July 28–29 meeting. This positions the no-change outcome at 93.5 percent implied probability, reflecting the Fed’s data-dependent stance and resilient labor market conditions that have kept monetary policy on hold since the April decision. Markets price in only modest odds for a 25 basis point adjustment either way, consistent with forward-looking projections that see limited near-term easing. June inflation releases and employment figures remain key upcoming catalysts that could shift the rate path if disinflation resumes or growth weakens materially.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 19, 2026, 8:09 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$5,659,199समाप्ति तिथि
29 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 19, 2026, 8:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Recent April 2026 CPI data, showing a 0.6 percent monthly rise and 3.8 percent year-over-year acceleration—the highest since May 2023—driven by energy price spikes amid Middle East geopolitical tensions, has reinforced trader expectations for the FOMC to hold the federal funds rate steady at its current 3.50–3.75 percent target range during the July 28–29 meeting. This positions the no-change outcome at 93.5 percent implied probability, reflecting the Fed’s data-dependent stance and resilient labor market conditions that have kept monetary policy on hold since the April decision. Markets price in only modest odds for a 25 basis point adjustment either way, consistent with forward-looking projections that see limited near-term easing. June inflation releases and employment figures remain key upcoming catalysts that could shift the rate path if disinflation resumes or growth weakens materially.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
वॉल्यूम
$5,659,199समाप्ति तिथि
29 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 19, 2026, 8:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent April 2026 CPI data, showing a 0.6 percent monthly rise and 3.8 percent year-over-year acceleration—the highest since May 2023—driven by energy price spikes amid Middle East geopolitical tensions, has reinforced trader expectations for the FOMC to hold the federal funds rate steady at its current 3.50–3.75 percent target range during the July 28–29 meeting. This positions the no-change outcome at 93.5 percent implied probability, reflecting the Fed’s data-dependent stance and resilient labor market conditions that have kept monetary policy on hold since the April decision. Markets price in only modest odds for a 25 basis point adjustment either way, consistent with forward-looking projections that see limited near-term easing. June inflation releases and employment figures remain key upcoming catalysts that could shift the rate path if disinflation resumes or growth weakens materially.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न