Georgia's 4th Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+27—the 21st most Democratic nationally—anchors trader consensus at 94.7% for a Democratic Party win in the House general election, reflecting Kamala Harris's 76% haul there in 2024 and Rep. Hank Johnson's consistent 75%+ general election margins since 2006. Johnson, seeking an 11th term, qualified in March 2026 with superior fundraising ($94,000 cash on hand) over primary challengers Ansel Postell and Benedict Truman ahead of the May 19 open primary and potential June 16 runoff. Republicans' James Duffie faces no primary opposition in this safely Democratic seat rated Solid D by Cook Political Report. While a Democratic primary upset, Johnson scandal, health issue, or massive national Republican wave could shift odds, structural barriers remain formidable ahead of the November 3 ballot.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाGA -04 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
GA -04 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$24,474 वॉल्यूम
$24,474 वॉल्यूम
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
95%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
4%
$24,474 वॉल्यूम
$24,474 वॉल्यूम
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
95%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
4%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Georgia's 4th Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+27—the 21st most Democratic nationally—anchors trader consensus at 94.7% for a Democratic Party win in the House general election, reflecting Kamala Harris's 76% haul there in 2024 and Rep. Hank Johnson's consistent 75%+ general election margins since 2006. Johnson, seeking an 11th term, qualified in March 2026 with superior fundraising ($94,000 cash on hand) over primary challengers Ansel Postell and Benedict Truman ahead of the May 19 open primary and potential June 16 runoff. Republicans' James Duffie faces no primary opposition in this safely Democratic seat rated Solid D by Cook Political Report. While a Democratic primary upset, Johnson scandal, health issue, or massive national Republican wave could shift odds, structural barriers remain formidable ahead of the November 3 ballot.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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