Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election shows Shas, the Sephardic ultra-Orthodox party led by Aryeh Deri, projected at 7–10 seats in most surveys, with recent Channel 13 and other trackers placing it at 7 or 8. This range underpins trader consensus around 8–9 seats as the plurality outcome, down from the party's current 11. Shas released its candidate list in early September featuring limited changes and a reservist officer in a high spot to broaden appeal amid ongoing Haredi draft debates. Internal tensions with spiritual leadership and competition within the religious sector have contributed to the projected decline, while the party's alignment with the Netanyahu-aligned bloc remains stable. Late-campaign shifts in turnout or bloc dynamics could still alter final results before election day.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया8-9 44%
10-11 26%
6-7 20%
12+ 10%
नया
नया
30 नव, 2026
<6
5%
6-7
20%
8-9
33%
10-11
20%
12+
10%
8-9 44%
10-11 26%
6-7 20%
12+ 10%
नया
नया
30 नव, 2026
<6
$485 वॉल्यूम
5%
6-7
$1,392 वॉल्यूम
20%
8-9
$939 वॉल्यूम
33%
10-11
$740 वॉल्यूम
20%
12+
$1,573 वॉल्यूम
10%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Shas in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Shas in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election shows Shas, the Sephardic ultra-Orthodox party led by Aryeh Deri, projected at 7–10 seats in most surveys, with recent Channel 13 and other trackers placing it at 7 or 8. This range underpins trader consensus around 8–9 seats as the plurality outcome, down from the party's current 11. Shas released its candidate list in early September featuring limited changes and a reservist officer in a high spot to broaden appeal amid ongoing Haredi draft debates. Internal tensions with spiritual leadership and competition within the religious sector have contributed to the projected decline, while the party's alignment with the Netanyahu-aligned bloc remains stable. Late-campaign shifts in turnout or bloc dynamics could still alter final results before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Shas in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Shas in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Shas in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Shas in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$5,130समाप्ति तिथि
27 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Shas in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Shas in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election shows Shas, the Sephardic ultra-Orthodox party led by Aryeh Deri, projected at 7–10 seats in most surveys, with recent Channel 13 and other trackers placing it at 7 or 8. This range underpins trader consensus around 8–9 seats as the plurality outcome, down from the party's current 11. Shas released its candidate list in early September featuring limited changes and a reservist officer in a high spot to broaden appeal amid ongoing Haredi draft debates. Internal tensions with spiritual leadership and competition within the religious sector have contributed to the projected decline, while the party's alignment with the Netanyahu-aligned bloc remains stable. Late-campaign shifts in turnout or bloc dynamics could still alter final results before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Shas in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Shas in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Shas in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Shas in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
वॉल्यूम
$5,130समाप्ति तिथि
27 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election shows Shas, the Sephardic ultra-Orthodox party led by Aryeh Deri, projected at 7–10 seats in most surveys, with recent Channel 13 and other trackers placing it at 7 or 8. This range underpins trader consensus around 8–9 seats as the plurality outcome, down from the party's current 11. Shas released its candidate list in early September featuring limited changes and a reservist officer in a high spot to broaden appeal amid ongoing Haredi draft debates. Internal tensions with spiritual leadership and competition within the religious sector have contributed to the projected decline, while the party's alignment with the Netanyahu-aligned bloc remains stable. Late-campaign shifts in turnout or bloc dynamics could still alter final results before election day.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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