Somaliland leads trader consensus at 37% implied probability after Israel's December 2025 recognition prompted a pledge to formally join the Abraham Accords, though no signing has occurred amid global non-recognition of the breakaway republic. Saudi Arabia trails at 17%, buoyed by Trump administration diplomacy tying normalization to Gaza stability and shared Iran concerns, but Riyadh's May 15 reports of a non-aggression pact with Tehran signal reluctance without Palestinian statehood progress. Azerbaijan (19%) and Syria (14%) reflect energy security talks and post-Assad overtures, yet Golan disputes hinder advancement. No major developments in the past 30 days; UAE's Iron Dome deployment underscores deepening Accords ties, with potential US-Saudi summits key before the December 31, 2026 resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया2027 से पहले अब्राहम समझौते में कौन सा देश शामिल होगा?
2027 से पहले अब्राहम समझौते में कौन सा देश शामिल होगा?
$567,097 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
सोमालिलैंड
37%
अज़रबैजान
20%
कुवैत
14%
लेबनान
13%
सऊदी अरब
13%
ओमान
13%
सीरिया
12%
$567,097 वॉल्यूम
सोमालिलैंड
$61,634 वॉल्यूम
37%
अज़रबैजान
$43,147 वॉल्यूम
20%
कुवैत
$22,614 वॉल्यूम
14%
लेबनान
$58,017 वॉल्यूम
13%
सऊदी अरब
$89,001 वॉल्यूम
13%
ओमान
$145,328 वॉल्यूम
13%
सीरिया
$147,356 वॉल्यूम
12%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Somaliland leads trader consensus at 37% implied probability after Israel's December 2025 recognition prompted a pledge to formally join the Abraham Accords, though no signing has occurred amid global non-recognition of the breakaway republic. Saudi Arabia trails at 17%, buoyed by Trump administration diplomacy tying normalization to Gaza stability and shared Iran concerns, but Riyadh's May 15 reports of a non-aggression pact with Tehran signal reluctance without Palestinian statehood progress. Azerbaijan (19%) and Syria (14%) reflect energy security talks and post-Assad overtures, yet Golan disputes hinder advancement. No major developments in the past 30 days; UAE's Iron Dome deployment underscores deepening Accords ties, with potential US-Saudi summits key before the December 31, 2026 resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Nov 5, 2025, 1:53 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$567,097समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 5, 2025, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Somaliland leads trader consensus at 37% implied probability after Israel's December 2025 recognition prompted a pledge to formally join the Abraham Accords, though no signing has occurred amid global non-recognition of the breakaway republic. Saudi Arabia trails at 17%, buoyed by Trump administration diplomacy tying normalization to Gaza stability and shared Iran concerns, but Riyadh's May 15 reports of a non-aggression pact with Tehran signal reluctance without Palestinian statehood progress. Azerbaijan (19%) and Syria (14%) reflect energy security talks and post-Assad overtures, yet Golan disputes hinder advancement. No major developments in the past 30 days; UAE's Iron Dome deployment underscores deepening Accords ties, with potential US-Saudi summits key before the December 31, 2026 resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$567,097समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 5, 2025, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Somaliland leads trader consensus at 37% implied probability after Israel's December 2025 recognition prompted a pledge to formally join the Abraham Accords, though no signing has occurred amid global non-recognition of the breakaway republic. Saudi Arabia trails at 17%, buoyed by Trump administration diplomacy tying normalization to Gaza stability and shared Iran concerns, but Riyadh's May 15 reports of a non-aggression pact with Tehran signal reluctance without Palestinian statehood progress. Azerbaijan (19%) and Syria (14%) reflect energy security talks and post-Assad overtures, yet Golan disputes hinder advancement. No major developments in the past 30 days; UAE's Iron Dome deployment underscores deepening Accords ties, with potential US-Saudi summits key before the December 31, 2026 resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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